Bit of background about me: I’m international, I’m ORM (Chinese, not from China though), applying for US colleges in the next cycle (this September).
My parents seem ridiculously convinced that I will definitely get into one of the top colleges (by which they mean HYPSM, because… asian). They’re even reluctant to let me apply to other colleges which are great (and very selective) but not well known in Asia (e.g. Rice, Vanderbilt, USC). To them, it’s either I get into a top US college, or I attend our local university (my safety school, but a very decent school, well-respected internationally and one that I’ll be satisfied attending).
I’ve done a lot (really, a ridiculous amount) of research, so I’m pretty aware of my chances (read: very very very low), and I’ll be totally fine if I end up at my local uni. But I think my parents will be sad if that happens, because they simply don’t believe I won’t end up in a good US college. I’ve tried telling them US college applications aren’t even necessarily about merit, and with top colleges, it’s honestly a lot about luck.
Their reasoning though is that I’m competing against those from my region (Asia), and that I stand out because of my school (feeder school, sort of. We send about 40 to top US colleges a year), and my activities (some leadership, ECs, nothing really outstanding except one international competition that I’m not sure if US colleges recognise properly, and Yale Young Global Scholars program, which was one of the best experiences of my life). But I really doubt that’s enough to set me apart from literal thousands of other asian applicants.
How should I convince my parents that my chances honestly, truly are very very low (to save them future sadness)?