I do not doubt that elite colleges will reach the level predicted here. I think that it will actually happen faster than predicted. In addition to sufficient demand from the wealthy U.S. applicants, I believe that there is increasing demand from wealthy international applicants.
More troubling to me is the COA growth at the state flagship level. Many/most of these do not meet full need and have poor aid. (I am from Illinois, so maybe I am jaded because UoI instate COA has breached $30K per annum.)
It seems to be that an instate flagship education should be a reasonable goal for the middle class. It is slipping away.
PS:
(Actually, it’s worse, for an undergraduate in-state engineering major:)
Residency: Illinois resident
Student Level: Undergraduate
Start Term: Fall 2015
Credit Hours: 18
TUITION
Total Tuition: $17,040
FEES *
AFMFA $654
General Fee $586
Health Insurance $572
Health Service Fee $464
Library/IT $488
Service Fee $576
Student Initiated Fees $132
Transportation Fee $118
Total Fees: $3,590
ADDITIONAL EXPENSES
Room & Board $11,010
Books & Supplies $1,200
Other Expenses ** $2,500
Total Additional Expenses: $14,710
TOTAL
$35,340
)
35 * 4 = $140K. In 15 years? 300K+