<p>OP, you have some financial flexibility. You also need a bit more information about her exact options. It sounds like the basic degree at the flagship should be fine, and she should succeed there, but her dreams have been a little different, and you might be able to make those dreams come true, depending on how compelling it all seems, and what kind of merit aid might be forthcoming next spring from a dream private LAC.</p>
<p>In my opinion, give the kid a target budget number. Keep it conservative. You can always authorize more money late in the game, but you really don’t want to have to roll the number back. At the same time, I think you should give her a realistic target number, not subject to too much upward expansion. A kid might feel misled and frustrated if she did her whole application process with a budget of $20,000 in mind, only to find in April of 12th grade that she could actually have used $50,000 as a benchmark. But a few thousand of wiggle room, added to the budget late in the game to stretch a disappointing merit offer, could be a good thing.</p>
<p>Ballparking the budget numbers is your job. You seem to have about $30,000 per year of swing between what you might realistically need to offer and what you truly can offer, if inclined. That’s a lot of swing. To settle on the numbers, I would want to look at it in the context of overall retirement and other financial planning.</p>
<p>Encourage her to give the flagship honors program a fair hearing, but also to seek out whatever she thinks would be her dream school, and apply (quickly, in the fall) for admission with merit aid. Caution her not to fall in love with anyplace until the numbers are final in the spring of 12th grade. When evaluating the offers, she should be able to articulate the pros and cons of the different schools, and explain what the benefit would be of spending more money.</p>
<p>You may find, at that time, that a bit more spending will get something of real value, and you will be willing to do it. Or not. The money can always be used for her benefit in other ways. For example, you could offer her a nice chunk of money toward a down payment on her first home, if she were to go to the flagship. College is not the only thing in her life that will ever matter. And it will probably end up costing more than projected.</p>