<p>is it true that the more UC’s you apply to the less likely youll get into the better UC’s like Cal and UCLA</p>
<p>No, your application is reviewed independently by each UC. They don’t collaborate with each other.</p>
<p>There is no such rule or myth of that which I have heard of. The closest thing to a “myth” which is similar to yours that I have heard of is that a lot of the times, supposedly you get accepted to Cal, but its very hard to get accepted by both, or you get accepted by UCLA, but not Cal.</p>
<p>the probability of getting into Cal is completely independent of the probability to get into any other UC</p>
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This has to be false as stated.</p>
<p>All evidence for it being false is anecdotal.</p>
<p>Most people at my HS got into both my year, with a few exceptions</p>
<p>If they are independent, then
P(getting in Irvine | getting in Cal) = P(getting in Irvine)
Using common sense,
P(getting in Irvine | getting in Cal) ~ 1.0
Using UC published stats,
P(getting in Irvine) < 1
Therefore, they cannot be independent.</p>
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<p>Well, first of all, we have to look at students that actually applied to both. Many, if not most, students that apply to Cal probably don’t apply to Irvine, and vice versa.</p>
<p>Most importantly, though, both probabilities are based on an underlying factor: the student’s applicant quality. That’s why it isn’t strictly independent, because you can’t assign a uniform probability to the entire applicant pool.</p>
<p>If we looked at students of the same applicant quality, and compared the acceptance rate at getting into Irvine for those who applied only to Irvine (or only Cal) versus those who applied to both Cal and Irvine, those probabilities should match up.
Unfortunately, I’m not aware of any stats that detailed, that would give us the quality of the applicants, whether they applied to both or only one, and whether they were accepted (not whether they attended).</p>
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<p>This is the correct answer to the question above.</p>