I would encourage you to look at my thread from this past application season and the final match/safety designations. I was rejected from UC Davis, Caltech, and Harvard.
Safety
- ASU
- SJSU
Match - UC Davis
- UC Santa Barbara
Reach - Cal Poly SLO
- UTAustin
- UIUC
- Purdue
- UCSD
- UC Berkeley
- UCLA
High Reach - Cornell
- Caltech
- Harvard
- Princeton
- MIT
Conclusion: Treat everything as a reach unless you’re 100% sure you’ll get in (safety) or 70% sure (match). Then truly fall in love with your matches and safeties.