I am a rising third years BS Physics student at the University of Missouri-Columbia. By the time I apply for graduate programs I will have 3 years of research, two summer internships at Caltech, a publication, a ~3.2 gpa (I know), and a major gpa ~3.4.
I am applying to the joint graduate program at the Janelia Farm Research Campus and the Johns Hopkins Neuroscience Program because my research interest include developing new biomedical imaging modalities. Unfortunately, my GPA is poor compared to the competition that I will face. With what I have stated above, what are my chances of getting into this program?
Chances are an inexact art even in undergraduate admissions. Graduate admissions are much less numbers-driven and rely more on the holistic entity of your application package (statement, fit with the department, work/research/internship experience, GPA, rigor of your program, letters of recommendation, GRE scores). They also rely on a lot of factors outside of your control - such as who you are competing with that year in the application pool; the state of funding in the department; the future plans of professors to retire/move to a different university/apply for grants; and other things. So we can’t really tell you your chances.
What someone could comment on is, broadly, how competitive an applicant you are within their field (or others they’re familiar with).