<p>I don’t think a VP is going to close those margins. You know that there will be a special Hill 'n Bill Show at the Clinton Presidential Library in Little Rock sometime during the campaign.</p>
<p>Not that it really matters. Arkansas flipping red to blue would only be gravy in the electoral college count. The math is really, really bad for the Republicans. The Democrats only need Kerry’s states plus either Florida or Ohio. Additional red states that are very much in play are Arkansas, Missouri, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, and Colorado. The anti-Latino bigotry of the 93% white Republican party is killing them in many of these states and could kill them for a generation as minority populations continue to increase.</p>
<p>The Republicans are damned if they do, damned if they don’t. Nominate Rudy and they tighten some of the purple state races, but the evangelical base (the Republican turnout machine) sits on its hands. Nominate Fred or Newt to rally the base and they get slaughtered in the purple states.</p>
<p>For some stunning numbers, check out the Field Poll for the California primary released today.</p>
<p>Overall
Clinton 49%
Obama 19%
Edwards 10%</p>
<p>age 18 - 39
Clinton 47%
Obama 24%
Edwards 10%
Others 6%
Undecided 13%</p>
<p>age 40 - 64
Clinton 50%
Obama 19%
Edwards 10%
Others 11%
Undecided 10%</p>
<p>65 or older
Clinton 49%
Obama 11%
Edwards 10%
Others 10%
Undecided 20%</p>
<p>Men
Clinton 47%
Obama 16%
Edwards 11%
Others 12%
Undecided 14%</p>
<p>Women
Clinton 50%
Obama 21%
Edwards 9%
Others 8%
Undecided 12%</p>
<p>White non-Hispanic
Clinton 43%
Obama 18%
Edwards 11%
Others 14%
Undecided 14%</p>
<p>Latino
Clinton 63%
Obama 14%
Edwards 12%
Others 3%
Undecided 8%</p>
<p>African-American/Asian
Clinton 52%
Obama 28%
Edwards 5%
Others 0%
Undecided 15%</p>