Ok, one last time - assuming @skieurope does not want to close the thread. And if he does, geez, I could be playing online chess or something “useful” instead…
People say girls have slightly better scores etc. for boarding school; let’s assume that is true. I said that doesn’t matter. Here’s why:
Let’s think of a very known example: a LAC with a 60:40 ratio. We all know (or should) that boys, in general, have lower admissions standards into these colleges.
But what if that was not the case? What if boys in the larger college applicant population (or liberal arts applicant population) had slightly better scores than girls in my liberal arts hypothetical. (I am not saying this is true — the opposite is probably true — but please bear with me for the sake of understanding.)
That would not matter. Admission standards would still decline if a school went to 50/50 by increasing boys, even if boys in general had better scores etc. as part of the larger population. Why?
For a 60:40 to go to a 50:50, a ton of male applicants would need to be accepted — above and beyond those who would be accepted for a 60/40.
Let’s say 250 boys are accepted to get to that 50, with a 20% yield rate. Let’s say 200 were accepted before, to get to 40 (actually the number would be lower because the yield rate would be higher, but for the sake of this example).
Those 50 boys who were accepted and previously were declined are what is relevant for this comparison, not the “average” boy (who is slightly higher than the average girl).
Now let’s look at the girls. 300 used to be accepted before; now only 250 are being accepted.
Time to compare the numbers. The comparison is not between average boys and average girls but between these nth numbers of boys and girls. How do the 50 (lower) boys who were accepted compare to the 50 girls who used to be accepted but no longer are? This subset of boys will be lower than that subset of girls, and admission standards will be generally lower as a result.
How do I know they will be lower in this LAC hypothetical? Because disproportionately more girls apply: the 60/40 could easily be 70/30 if just going by the numbers; that’s how disproportionate things are. The 30-40th percentile of female applicants will be way higher than the 20% of boys they are admitting, even if boys in general have average scores (I am just throwing those percentages out there; the difference is probably even greater if you, as a data analysts, ever get a hold of a real data set).
Nobody wants a 60:40. And no boarding school wants a 56:44.
We already heard from someone on this thread that Kent recognizes 56:44 to be a problem. So why don’t they simply admit more girls if average girls are higher? The answer is simply because they can’t — admission standards would drop. Instead they are trying to increase demand for female applicants.
Another point: do you think of every 100 applicants, that 56 at Kent are boys? I can assure you the number is higher than that. My above hypothetical assumed this was a constant to make the point, but in reality boys 200-250 might be of, say, 550 applicants vs. rejected girls 250-300 from an applicant pool of 900. Surely you could see then how admissions standards would decline.
The effect for a 52:48 is much smaller. But the point remains. There, the drop in admission standards moving to 50/50 would barely be noticeable, but it would exist. Enter the demographic crunch in a couple years. If I were a 50/50 school with a disproportion of applicants of one gender, and I could go to 52:48 and only slightly increase the international proportion and maybe slightly increase enrollment, I would. But Hotchkiss will not want to go to from 53:47 to 55:55; they will be more constrained. We shall see…