So is Tulane the top choice ? Or U Mich ? You don’t ED to game. You ED because a school is the legit top choice.
If Tulane is, most of these are not like Tulane so I don’t understand that. Michigan is out of your stated budget - no idea why you’d even apply. Or to UVA as well. Both well over $70k with no aid coming.
Nothing worse than getting into a school that you can’t afford it in your case, don’t want to afford.
To answer your question and assuming you have enough in the way of science, math, foreign language, English and social science, I think:
Indiana In
Penn State in but Schreyer unknown
Ohio State in
UMD in
U Wash likely but likely won’t see your SAT
Wisconsin likely
UF likely
Tulane, UVA, and U Mich are unknown. Make sure to demonstrate interest at Tulane.
I’m not sure your desired post school outcome but for poli sci, unless one features a certain discipline within, I’m not sure the where matters.
But I’m partial to IU (and Syracuse) because at the grad level in neighboring public affairs, they are the creme de la creme.
So within your list, not looking at $$, I’m partial to IU. Not only does it have a Dc program (others will too where you can spend a semester), if you have international interests it has the Hamilton Lugar school which has an outstanding rep.
Anyway, that’s how I see your chances - even though I’m unsure of the choices based on the stated desires.
Best of luck.