My daughter is currently a sophomore at Miami. Her stats were ACT 33, W GPA 4.2, lots of long term quality ECs, 9 APs (one 4, the rest 5s). Received her admission letter, honors program and full tuition OSS scholarship before Christmas that year. MU padded their offer in February with an additional $3.5k in renewable grants and scholarships. I think the admissions/scholarship thing is impossible to figure out. One factor may be that MU peeps have a very good idea of what a student might be offered in any given state and up the money depending on the stats that kid has. In our case, my DD was entitled to free tuition at any in state public so MU prolly knew they had to offer at least that to get her there.