National Merit Cutoff Predictions Class of 2017

@DoyleB I don’t think I made myself clear.

Let us define a number r=the number of raw points lost in total compared to a perfect paper. This is how I usually measure the performance of students of NMSF level.

For example, according to PSAT 2014"Understanding Your Scores", on PSAT Form S

CR 2 wrong 1 blank =75
M 2 wrong 1 blank= 73
W 1 wrong= 76
For a total SI=224 with r= 7.

r=7 (obviously with this specific distribution over areas) would be NMSF in any state in 2014. However, based on the official practice material, I think in some states, many more students may get r=7 (with the same distribution over areas) on the new test than on the 2014 test. So the cutoff, expressed in terms of r, will have to be higher.