NH Primary Predictions

Parent Cafe
1

<p>DEMS:</p>

<li> Obama, beats her by significant margin</li>
<li>Clinton</li>
<li>Edwards
Richardson and Kucinich finish with less than 5 hopefully they both resign.</li>
</ol>

<p>REPUGS:</p>

<li>McCain , beats by sig margin</li>
<li>Romney </li>
<li>Huckabee (not close to Romney)</li>
<li> Paul (probably close to the Huckabee)</li>
<li>Guiliani</li>
<li>Thompson
___</li>
</ol>

<p>Pundits talk about the power of Obama, will look invincible now. May even be competitive in Nevada and will destroy her in South Carolina. Clinton probably only takes New York Feb. 5. </p>

<p>Fox News will be so upset. Their weeks of free advertising for their boy Mitt Romney lead to two defeats for him. People question if Huckabee can win without a large pop. of Jesus-Freaks. I think Thompson drops out. Guiliani loses his national lead and slides to irrelevance. Race is a 3 wayer between McCain, Huckabee, and whoever can take Michigan or Romney can stay alive if he can finish in Top 2 for the next few races,</p>

2

<p>Rick Perry eventually picks up the pieces.</p>

3

<p>The results so far are interesting. Each state has its own flavor and cultural distribution, and different candidates will appeal. The process will play out as a whole, and the idiosyncracies of the two earliest caucuses and primaries should not swamp rational and thoughtful decision making.</p>

4

<p>My Mom will be voting for Richardson tomorrow, my sister-in-law for Edwards, don’t know about my brother. I saw nothing but Obama signs in Peterborough NH when I was there over Thanksgiving.</p>

5

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</p>

<p>Maybe it shouldn’t but it does. Clinton was neck to neck with obama before iowa. Now he’s up by 9-13 points in a matter of 4 days. Guiliani (Crookiani) was the national front runner before Iowa, now he’s in a tie. After NH it will be gone. That’s just the way the cookie crumbles.</p>