You know, the “message” here on CC is soooo different from what I observed IRL. I’ve known almost every senior who graduated from our HS for the last 4-6 years. Everyone (parents, GCs, friends) has beaten into the kids’ head so much that they have no chance at any of the top schools, may as well don’t even try, and the majority didn’t.
It is very typical to see kids in our area applied to 8-10 safeties and maybe 1 or 2 reaches, or none at all. I’ve seen so many average intelligent kids applied to so many safeties (>=50% acceptance rate) that i was just asking myself WHY??? So much time and effort. For bragging right or for what? I look at the FB page every day and i can’t help but scratching my head: Typically: 7/7, 10/10 acceptances - then the list of schools. This morning, my friend posted 12 out of 12 acceptances. And i was like, why? Of course she would get into those schools! Her SAT was above 1450 with 4.0 GPA unweighted with a ton of APs. And I am only talking about the relatively smart kids here. And I know ALL of them!
Maybe about top 5% of the kids in our schools actually go against the GCs’s advice and applied to reaches, and high reaches. Those that applied usually got good results.
Like it has pointed out, what you have seen on CC is a spec of real life. And people usually shared the extremes and not the norm. And people LOVE to repeat the extremes to scare the kids.
What I would love to see more is the encouragement - give the kids a realistic picture, but also tell them the only way to not getting anywhere is NOT to apply, and encourage them to separate themselves via their essays. By the time they apply their grades and ECs are what they are, they don’t have much control over it. But they have full control of presenting themselves via the application. And the essay is where they can shine, despite what their stats are. I’ve known a kid got got into Harvard with no EC and B+ GPA and 1300’s SAT. When I read her essay I was sobbing. I am sure the Harvard’s application reviewer cried too.
For my next kid - lesson learned for me would be to apply to Rutgers and Penn State as safeties, the rest should be reaches. Both of my kids love Penn State, they always said that if PSU is the only school they got accepted to, they would be happy and content. For their stats the only way for them not to get in to PSU is to have a really horrible essay or made some really horrible mistakes in the application. And we are smart enough to make sure that it doesn’t happen.
I also heard about the one kid at our school that applied to all reaches and didn’t get in to any - and oh boy people loved talking about him years after years as a scare tactic for other kids to not even try for reaches, and it works!