A few follow up questions…
Most schools will recalculate your GPA to be UW, so having a sense if that is a 3.2 or a 3.6 will matter, for sure. Will you be taking the SAT again? Did you try the ACT?
What sciences have you taken? How many APs are offered of which you have taken one? What is your senior schedule class wise?
As you mentioned, and you are correct, direct entry nursing is very competitive so adding in potential safeties is challenging. I think your list does have possible matches but reach heavy based on the program.