Obama and Romney lead in cal polls.....

Parent Cafe
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<p>I’m shocked about Romney.</p>

<p>Of course, polls haven’t been too accurate.</p>

<p><a href=“http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080204/pl_nm/usa_politics_poll_dc;_ylt=AuLrHrsls7RwHsWIHdo3txoDW7oF[/url]”>http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080204/pl_nm/usa_politics_poll_dc;_ylt=AuLrHrsls7RwHsWIHdo3txoDW7oF&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

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<p>I’m not. Romney can do a slightly better impersonation of Ronald Reagan than McCain can, although both are pretty lame at it. In addtion, not everyone has forgotten that McCain was a charter member of the Keating Five club. Plus, there are a lot of Mormons in California. Those factors have the possibility of adding up to a win for Mitt in California.</p>

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<p>Is McCain even campaigning in California? In our town, only 3 of the 4 major candidates have lawn signs or signs anywhere, and McCain’s is the name that is missing?</p>

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<p>What I have noticed the last few days is the Romney ad running in Ca that doesn’t diss McCain but Hillary.</p>

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<p>I’m surprised about Romney, too. Every Republican I’ve talked to in recent days here in So. Cal can’t stand the man and one even said that if he were to somehow get the nomination she would vote for the Democrat for the first time in her 70 years. I’ve seen one Romney bumper sticker. Most Republicans I know are voting for McCain.</p>

<p>As for Obama, he is surging. As one of his supporters, I’m going to be very interested to see if he can actually garner the popular vote in CA. For the first time in my lifetime, our state is actually “in play.” Fun!</p>

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<p>About time Cal had a say. :)</p>

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<p>I agree with James Carville that if Hillary loses the popular vote in Cal, Obama will get the nomination. My only concern with the surge by Obama is that early voting started 2 weeks ago before the momentum kicked in.</p>

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<p>I’m concerned about that, too Hondu. Then I read something this morning in our local news from our county registrar of voters. He said that the absentee ballots are especially slow at coming in this year. They are predicting huge numbers of absentee ballots being dropped off tomorrow at the polling places. This is interesting because it might mean that people are having a hard time making up their minds (there are only a half dozen propositions on the ballot this time, it’s a very short ballot for Calif. so normally the absentee voters would have mailed them in well in advance i.e. mid January.). He was quoted as saying that our county might not even be able to project a winner until days or weeks after the election because the last-minute absentee ballots (and there are tons of them) would have to be opened and counted separately. </p>

<p>So, I expect that the early results from California will show Clinton firmly in the lead because that will account for the absentee ballots that were counted early on, but the race might tighten considerably over the course of the evening as same-day voters weigh in, and then there could be real suspense that plays out over days if it comes down to the last-minute absentee ballots.</p>

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<p>Sounds like that time in Florida a few years ago :).</p>

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<p>Yikes, I hope not. No hanging chads either! :slight_smile: All we have to do is take a blue or black ball point pen (not felt or gel pens though) and fill in an arrow. Nothing is punched (at least in our county, not sure about other counties).</p>

<p>I just hope the Independents who request a ballot tomorrow remember to fill the bubble in at the top, as well as vote for their candidate. Otherwise their ballot cannot be counted. That’s the kind of thing that worries me. No matter who wins, I want every person who took the time to vote to have their voice registered. It’s amazing how some people don’t follow directions because they’re in a hurry or aren’t listening carefully (or reading). I know I’ve done that on DMV forms and the like.</p>

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<p>17,000 went to see Obama in Connecticut today. Wow. I think that’s the most he’s ever drawn. Two weeks ago, Clinton had a 14-percent lead over him in that state. Today he had a four-point lead.</p>

<p>Not counting on the polls though, but the photos for that event in CT are impressive.</p>

<p><a href=“http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/post/samgrahamfelsen/CPmL[/url]”>http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/post/samgrahamfelsen/CPmL&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

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<p>(Replying to my own post) Today’s WSJ said just the opposite as the link in the OP - that Romney is actually slipping in California and will lose it big to McCain.</p>

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<p>California ballots might be slow to be counted, according to CNN.</p>

<p>1) The ballots are paper. Due to concern about security, 58 counties switched from electronic ballots back to paper.</p>

<p>2) More than 700,000 Californians registered to vote for Tuesday’s election than were registered four years ago; 240,000 signed up in December alone.</p>

<p>We might not know California results until Wednesday or later. A real nail biter in the works? </p>

<p><a href=“http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/04/california.ballots/index.html[/url]”>http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/04/california.ballots/index.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

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<p>Clinton, Obama, and Cluster Bombs:
<a href=“HuffPost - Breaking News, U.S. and World News | HuffPost”>HuffPost - Breaking News, U.S. and World News | HuffPost;

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<p>Watching some of today’s McCain footage… I am convinced that the man is senile. Such a shame. He’s really gone seriously downhill throughout this campaign.</p>

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<p>I think McCain looks very tired and that worries me if he becomes President. (Actually, his reputation for having a temper worries me a little more.)</p>

<p>To be honest, I just watched Obama on C-Span in Boston. It was 11:30 p.m. there and he sounded pretty tired, too. Clinton lost her voice today. They are all running on adrenaline now. I don’t know how in the world they do it!</p>

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<p>Whoo Obama!</p>

<p>It must be very difficult being a candidate. You’re always being watched. And on top of that, you have to be EVERYWHERE. Few rests…I mean, I really admire them for how hard they are working. I’m surprised that McCain hasn’t had some kind of heart-attack or something. I’m sure if Cheney was running, he’d be in the hospital by now…</p>

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<p>I love this story I just read about Obama:</p>

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<p>Also, the Wall Street Journal is carrying a very strong endorsement of Obama by McCaskill (sp?), Sebelius, and Napolitano (sorry for any misspellings!). Also the Yale Daily News endorsed him. (Yale being Clinton’s law school alma mater)</p>

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<p>asdfjkl1: Haha… Cheney… either he’d be in the hospital with a heart attack or a debate opponent would be in the hospital with shotgun wounds…</p>

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<p>momof2inca:</p>

<p>There’s coverage of Obama’s visit to Boston in Boston.com and in the Harvard Crimson (thecrimson.com). Some people lined up since before noon to hear him. He did not get there until 10pm (it was billed for 8pm).<br>
Clinton spoke in Worcester to a smaller crowd, but seems to have been quite effective despite her very hoarse voice.
I have to admire the stamina of all the candidates!
It’s raining and rather slick. I don’t know what it will do to the predicted turnout in MA.</p>