My daughter has a 3.8UW GPA, 35 ACT, 5 APs so far (and currently enrolled in 4 more), and interesting ECs. (Also expecting her recs and essay to be good.) She’s interested pretty much exclusively in LACs. She’s participated in a couple diversity fly-in programs and established a good relationship with those schools. Those schools are not her top top choice, but she’d be very happy at them.
Unfortunately, she’s started off this semester very poorly in one class. Her AP Calc AB class has been one disaster after another, and she’s currently getting a D. I think she’ll be able to turn things around to some extent, but realistically I think there’s a chance she could wind up with a C. She got 1 B and 1 B- first semester freshman year, but since that time, she’s had almost all As and 1-2 B+s every semester. Every semester has been as good as or better than the previous semester, so she has an upward trend in her GPA.
Originally she was thinking of applying ED to one of her reach schools, and RD everywhere else (including the fly-in programs she participated in) but with a C or D on her transcript, I’m thinking she won’t get in anywhere good RD. So right now I’m thinking she should just apply to one of the schools she did the fly-in program with ED and hopefully get in before her AP Calc grade comes to light. (To be clear, the fly-in program school is also in the high match/low reach category, so it’s not like it’s a slam dunk anyway. I’m just thinking that since they were interested enough in her to have her participate in their diversity fly-in, she has a pretty good shot.) I know schools can rescind an acceptance if grades fall too much, but I’ve heard that most schools won’t do that over a C. (A D, maybe.)
On the other hand, I’m concerned that ED could be even worse for her, if they check her grades as of the end of the quarter, which is one month away. She might be able to bring her grades up quite a bit between now and the end of the semester, but I’m not sure how much she can improve them over the next month. If wherever she applies ED checks her quarterly grades, she might look even worse.
Last but not least, I should point out that financial aid isn’t a concern. We’re expecting to pay full tuition.
Am I thinking about this right? Is applying ED to one of the diversity fly-in schools her best option at this point?