Our D26 is also looking at relatively less selective publics. Honestly it would be kind of fun for me if she had some moonshot reaches on her list, but I am not sure we can come up with any affordable reaches that she can get excited about! 
At this point her top choice seems to be UC Davis which is more of a target / toss-up for her stats… she thinks she likes it more than UCB and the other more selective UCs… and she hasn’t shown much interest in smaller or private schools. But we’ll see how her list evolves.