So I’m not sure I buy what College Vine is selling with its chancing calculator (although it’s certainly fun to play with).
From my understanding, if a student’s ACT or SAT score falls within the middle 50 percent of a college’s range (as reported on the common data set), then that student can reasonably apply to that college, as long as their grades fall within range, too.
Higher than that for scores and/or grades is great, but it doesn’t mean the college becomes so much easier if it still has holistic admissions. And lower than the middle 50 percent maybe makes that school a little harder to get into (in my opinion), but not impossible – the holistic thing still comes into play.
I honestly think there’s no way to predict. I feel like scores and grades are just a checkbox – if they fall within range, then the school will look at the rest of the application. So I feel like it’s not useful to worry about the small nuances in test scores in terms of the likelihood of being admitted to any one school.
My D22 had a composite 36 on the ACT (English 36, Reading 36, Science 36, Math 34) – that averaged to 35.5, which rounded up.
The rest of her stats were also strong – salutatorian, college-level research, lots of longevity and leadership in theatre and chorus, all-state chorus, governor honor’s program, summer internship, blah blah blah all the things. Her essays and rec letters were really good.
She was still waitlisted at Northwestern, WashU, Davidson and Tulane – and rejected from Brown.
You just never know what they’re looking for – but I’m pretty sure it isn’t test scores beyond knowing that the student is capable of succeeding at their school.