Your scores are good… ECs are solid but not necessarily spectacular. (I don’t really know any “competitive” summer programs at universities… I’m pretty sure most of those are just looked at as chances for the college to make some extra cash.) It seems like your main thing is research, so hopefully you explained the magnitude & significance of your research on the app.
I’d say:
Hopkins: Accept/Waitlist
MIT: Reject
Stanford: Reject (if your essays were that “quirky,” though, maybe slightly more likely)
Harvard: Reject
Princeton: Waitlist
Harvey Mudd: Accept
Columbia: Waitlist
Brown: Waitlist
Cornell: Waitlist/Accept
Rice: Accept
Best of luck! 
Chance me back? http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1966406-chance-me-upenn-ed-yale-brown-princeton-etc-will-chance-back-p1.html