<p>I’ll go with a Clinton 8 point win.</p>
<p>I’m with SuNa, Hillary by 8 points.</p>
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<p>Oh my, you just made me realize I have to pick between AI and the primary results Tuesday night. And we don’t have tivo.</p>
<p>Yea, Hillary by 8-9 points.</p>
<p>Hillary by 3 to 5 points.</p>
<p>Obama by 1 and Hillary drops out at noon on Wednesday.</p>
<p>Hondu: From your lips to God’s ear. Well, keyboard in this case…from your keyboard to God’s You’ve Got Mail?</p>
<p>Large percentages of the 18 to 35 subgroup of voters use cell phones exclusively. Because it’s illegal to call cell phones for polling purposes, there’s a valid argument there’s a significant voting demographic that’s not being polled proportionally to their projected turnout and are most likely underrepresented. Extrapolate what you will.</p>
<p>Hillary 52%
Obama 46%
Undecided 2%</p>
<p>Now, there is definitely something that can change all of this. If it happens tomorrow, then Hillary will have 56%; Obama 42% and 2% undecided. We’ll see. No, I won’t mention what I think could happen. I just wanted to say that it will be within 6% or it could actually spike to 14-16% difference.</p>
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<p>That’s a pipe dream, I’m afraid. I just don’t see it.</p>
<p>According to the most recent NEWSWEEK national poll Obama now leads Clinton by nearly 20 points-54 percent to 35 percent-among registered Democrats and those who lean Democratic nationwide. </p>
<p>The previous NEWSWEEK Poll, conducted in March after the Ohio and Texas primaries, showed the two in a statistical tie (45 percent for Obama to 44 percent for Clinton). The new poll puts Obama ahead among women as well as with men, and voters aged 60 and older as well as younger voters. </p>
<p>A majority of all registered voters polled find Clinton as dishonest and untrustworthy. According to the poll, just four in 10 (41 percent) registered voters view clinton as honest and trustworthy. This compares with 61% of voters who see Obama and McCain as honest and trustworthy.</p>
<p>So I am revising my prediction of Hillary by 3 in Penn. I now believe that Obama will win by 2 or 3 points but that Hillary, being dishonest and untrustworthy, will lie to herself and believe she has won and will continue on to the convention regardless of subsequent losses in Indiana and N. Carolina.</p>
<p>“Obama by 1 and Hillary drops out at noon on Wednesday.”</p>
<p>I have an even more radical prediction: Hillary wins by 5, but still drops out within a few days. She goes out on a positive note, saying that she still would have a chance to win the nomination, but that it is time to pull together against McCain. She does this because the party establishment has made it clear to her that if she doesn’t, she will never get another chance to run.</p>
<p>^ Most pundits think that she will NEVER quit until the convention.</p>
<p>In reality, don’t you think this is the Clintons’ last chance to move back to the White House? For that reason, it may be fight until the bitter end. :eek:</p>
<p>Hillary may not win the nomination. Even if she won, she may not win in Nov.</p>
<p>Obama can’t win in November. He has not won any large states and has alienated many voters in MI and FL by playing hardball in shutting off the re-vote efforts.</p>
<p>Get ready for Bush III. Half a dead man wins.</p>
<p>What? He hasn’t alienated MI voters at all. Everybody I know here thinks he’s right. The dumb democratic party may have alienated voters when they moved the primary up in spite of being told the votes wouldn’t count and then wanting to seat the delegates. I am more alienated by Hilary campaigning in Michigan when none of the other candidates did and then claiming to have won the state when hers was the only name on the ballot.</p>
<p>She’s now $10 mil in the hole.</p>
<p>Well according to an exclusive to Drdge today, Clinton has an 11 pt lead in her internal polling.</p>
<p>My belief is she is staying until the very last second</p>
<p>Internal polling? Is that like an internal wish list? Didn’t her internal pollster get fired recently?</p>
<p>I think the benefit of releasing “exclusive” internal polls is that if you say it is true, others may actually believe it to be true. That has been the Clinton strategy throughout the entire campaign. …;)</p>
<p>Correct as usual 1sokkermom. However, this particular <em>strategery</em> can backfire and I hope it does. Voters may think, ‘well if she’s ahead by THAT much, my single vote won’t make a difference, I can stay home.’ We’ll see tomorrow.</p>
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<p>And you don’t think Clinton hasn’t played hardball by flip-flopping on this issue?</p>
<p>No matter which Democratic candidate you’re supporting in Michigan or Florida, one group is going to feel screwed and alienated. If delegates get seated based on those two early primaries, then Obama people are disenfranchised because their candidate wasn’t on the ballot (MI) because he showed integrity in following the party’s mandate. If they don’t get seated, then Clinton supporters will cry foul (despite her upfront agreeing to the sanctions the DNC laid out to MI and FL). </p>
<p>Both sides have reason to be upset with however it is finally resolved.</p>
<p>Hunt I like your post. It makes sense to me. Plus now I learn that she is broke and in debt. Did her supporters abandon her? And Obama has 42 million in the bank to spend. </p>
<p>I have never liked Hillary or Bill Clinton. But the Bosnia creative writing/speaking incident sealed it for me. She gave such details of this imaginary experience it was scary. I knew she could lie from history, but I didn’t know she was THAT good at lying. Then her husband came out with his …“It was 11 pm, she was exhausted, and apologized right away…” lines. Umm, it wasn’t 11 pm. It took 6 to 8 days to apologize, and if the campaign ‘exhausts’ her, how could she deal with the pressures of being president and think clearly?</p>
<p>Running on here … (no pun intended) I also think Obama looks so physically fit next to both of the other candidates. As a fitness minded person (runner, etc) myself, I see him as better mentally and physically prepared than the other 2. Hillary sometimes looks dumpy and middle-aged (those pant suits!! eeks!) and McCain I think has been through a lot in his personal, military history. </p>
<p>Ahh politics. WHen will this be over?</p>