<p>Because of the previously discussed overenrollment, and if Admissions expects the Yield (enrolled/accepted) to continue to increase, I would project the '15 admissions rate to fall from over 32% for '14 to 28% for '15. </p>
<p>The assumptions being:
- Applications rise to 53000 (6.5% - in the range of last year’s increase)
- Admissions targeting a class of 6100 (to make up for overenrollment)
- Admissions expects the yield to climb to 41.0% (on par with the increase each of the last 3 years) </p>
<pre><code> 2,009 2,010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
</code></pre>
<p>Applicants 29,965 31,613 39,584 42,544 46,813 49,776 53000
Accepted 14,970 16,006 16,073 15,551 15,571 16,047 14860
Enrolled 6,079 6,496 6,251 6,171 6,225 6,505 6100
Admission Rate 50.0% 50.6% 40.6% 36.6% 33.3% 32.2% 28.0%
Yield 40.6% 40.6% 38.9% 39.7% 40.0% 40.5% 41.0%</p>
<p>Now, of course, the in-state, out of state and international rates will all be different but the increased difficulty of admissions for all may be similar.</p>
<p>Also, expect even fewer early acceptances due to Admissions managing the enrollment closer. However, they will need to be careful not to over do that so as not to chase away strong applicants that they may likely want to eventually enroll. </p>
<p>Note: my apoligies that the table doesn’t line up well </p>