Realistic chances of getting into Yale/any Ivy?

Chance Me / Match Me
1

SAT: 1560
SAT II World History: 800
AP World History Exam: 5
GPA: 4.0 UW / around 4.5 weighted (currently trying to sort out issues)
Sex: Female
Race: East Asian
Areas of interest: Humanities/Liberal Arts (English, history, potential majors suited to pursue law in graduate school)

Home: Orange County, CA
Public School
I went to school in a private school in China for middle school-freshmen year

Currently a junior
Sophomore Classes: Spanish 3, AP World History, English honors, algebra 2 trig honors, chemistry honors, journalism
Junior Classes: AP US history, precalculus honors, english honors, journalism, AP biology, AP statistics, Spanish 4 honors
Likely Senior Classes: AP Government, AP Macro Economics, AP Psychology, AP Calculus AB, AP Spanish, AP Literature, journalism, AP physics

School activities/involvement:
Editor in chief of school’s literary magazine
Editor of school’s newspaper
Volunteer coordinator of Female Empowerment Movement Club
JV Basketball (9-10)
Debate Team Captain (11-12)
Mock Trial attorney (10-12)

Awards:
Scholastic regional Silver Keys for Writing (short stories)
National champion of the Tournament of Champions in China (9)
Reached elimination rounds (quarters, semis, etc.) for various debate tournaments
School academic distinctions for English (9-10) and History (10)

ECs:
Work at a debate academy for elementary-middle school students (summer and during the school year)
Judge for a local debate league
Interned for a congressional campaign during midterms
Debate (Public Forum, Lincoln Douglas, Parliamentary, etc.)

Summer Activities
University of Virginia Young Writers’ Workshop (before 10)
Women’s Debate Institute (before 10)
Kenyon Young Writers Workshop (before 11)
Victory Briefs Institute for debate (before 11)

There are many many intelligent and qualified people at my school and in my area, and I know race plays a pretty big factor in admissions. I don’t know how to evaluate my qualifications as a student and decide whether or not to apply. I don’t have any family connections and am still pretty new to the area I currently live in as well.

2

Hopefully, race does not play the factor you think :(. Are you a US citizen?

3

How so? And yes I am. Born in Illinois.

4

You seem like a fabulous prospect for any school you would want to apply to. I would not limit myself. You seem to know who you are academically but refine it further. I would apply anywhere you want but spend some time looking at specific programs of interest and develop a plan. If you like to write, for example, think about where that will be nurtured. What publications would you like to write for at Yale? Other Ivies?