We’re in a similar situation. In-state, excellent academics (honors + IB degree), strong ECs… Rejected by UCD and UCLA, waitlisted by UCSD. Waiting on SDSU, but starting to look like he’s going out of state. He’s got decent offers from three other schools in other states but is a bit down that the CA schools aren’t interested, and I would have preferred him to be closer to home. Competition is just that fierce, I guess.