<p>Opinion piece in USA Today by William Caskey, a former Brown admissions officer turned private college counselor, contemplates the college admission process:</p>
<p>Colleges do not offer transparency because they do not want students/families to actually know their chances. The more people that apply, the better a college looks.</p>
<p>Say I run a lottery with $100 tickets. I tell people there’s a 1 in 10 chance of winning a million bucks. I’ll sell a heck of a lot more tickets than if I tell them there’s 1 in 1000 chance of winning. What would happen if for instance it became public knowledge that a regular unhooked joe with less than 1450 SAT stands no chance of getting into, say… Duke? Applications would fall like a rock.</p>
<p>I know there is truth to all this, but if you read the posts on this forum, many of the kids the parents are talking about have gotten into selective schools without legacy, athletic or URM hooks. And it seems like most of the parents call themselves middle class.</p>
<p>Caskey, whom the OP quotes, was an AD at Brown, and in Daniel Golden’s book Brown is alledged to really bend over backwards to admit celebrity/development/legacy type students. So maybe Caskey is talking ONLY about Brown and not necessarily the others.</p>