The investment..speculation, out right gambling thread

<p>That could be a good trade.</p>

<p>I don’t have any stock picks. </p>

<p>I have been selling FB puts. </p>

<p>Because…there is still juice in them.
Because I think a lot of the selling in FB has occured for this lockup period.</p>

<p>I am short the 18 puts that expire Friday.</p>

<p>And very few sept 15 and 16 puts. Very few.
I might sell a few more, but nothing crazy. Maybe 20 more.</p>

<p>I know earlier I said I wouldn’t sell any FB puts. But…premium has been crushed elsewhere.</p>

<p>I do like to be short some premium.</p>

<p>the time to buy FB or sell puts naked will be November 14 after the biggest lock up of shares expires. There will be sellers everywhere.</p>

<p>Why would I sell puts naked if there are sellers everywhere?</p>

<p>Went to cash this morning. It’s been a great year. Up over 14% so far.</p>

<p>GOOG trade was out of this world!</p>

<p>BTW, we were having the discussion last night and this morning about taking profits off the table, either with going to cash or cutting down position sizes. I like to go completely to cash every once in a while and then just relax for a while.</p>

<p>Very nice, BCEagle91.</p>

<p>When there are sellers every where FB will drop to a short term low. Once it hits that low, sell the naked puts or buy the stock for a later trade up when the selling stops.</p>

<p>:)… Ok.</p>

<p>I only sell cash secured puts never naked puts. That being said, are the 8/3 FB 20 puts that I had bought for .32 and rolled them out to 8/18 19 puts for .66 going to be in the money on Friday?</p>

<p>I do not think they will close in the money, but I won’t sell them. :)</p>

<p>A naked put just means you don’t have a position against it.</p>

<p>You can sell naked puts and be cash secured.</p>

<p>I can’t remember the last time I wasn’t cash secured when selling puts.</p>

<p>Selling naked calls is another story.</p>

<p>^^my bad - you’re right.</p>

<p>I think FB will be down Friday even more. Today’s volume was nearly as high as the first day of trading and it went down on the day after the first day.</p>

<p>I may have to roll the 19 put out to an 18 for next week.</p>

<p>Too gloomy on FB…for now.</p>

<p>Those 19 puts are worthless.</p>

<p>[Adapt</a> or Perish, Credit Suisse Tells Traders - Yahoo! Finance](<a href=“http://finance.yahoo.com/news/adapt-low-volumes-perish-credit-091628133.html;_ylt=AkI1HM6Jq_Wi9OUG8vjL6RKiuYdG;_ylu=X3oDMTQ4aGo4ZmMwBG1pdANDTkJDIFRvcCBTdG9yaWVzBHBrZwM5NTBjMGZiNi00MmRkLTM5ZTUtYjhmNC1jOWViNGQ4MzQ2Y2YEcG9zAzEEc2VjA01lZGlhQkxpc3RNaXhlZExQQ0FUZW1wBHZlcgNkOGM1YjY2MS1lODRjLTExZTEtYTFkYS03N2FlMjUzMGVhMzY-;_ylg=X3oDMTFpNzk0NjhtBGludGwDdXMEbGFuZwNlbi11cwRwc3RhaWQDBHBzdGNhdANob21lBHB0A3NlY3Rpb25z;_ylv=3]Adapt”>http://finance.yahoo.com/news/adapt-low-volumes-perish-credit-091628133.html;_ylt=AkI1HM6Jq_Wi9OUG8vjL6RKiuYdG;_ylu=X3oDMTQ4aGo4ZmMwBG1pdANDTkJDIFRvcCBTdG9yaWVzBHBrZwM5NTBjMGZiNi00MmRkLTM5ZTUtYjhmNC1jOWViNGQ4MzQ2Y2YEcG9zAzEEc2VjA01lZGlhQkxpc3RNaXhlZExQQ0FUZW1wBHZlcgNkOGM1YjY2MS1lODRjLTExZTEtYTFkYS03N2FlMjUzMGVhMzY-;_ylg=X3oDMTFpNzk0NjhtBGludGwDdXMEbGFuZwNlbi11cwRwc3RhaWQDBHBzdGNhdANob21lBHB0A3NlY3Rpb25z;_ylv=3)</p>

<p>“Declining volumes on global stock markets appear to show that real money trading activity is at decade lows, according to a new report from Credit Suisse, and investors believe volumes will stay low for two more years unless global resolutions to the risks of the economic crisis are found.
Credit Suisse’s report on trading activity shows that over the past four years, volumes in equity markets have been steadily falling and are now at half the level seen in the middle of the credit crisis - and traders fear they could get worse.
After surveying trade desks in the U.S., Europe and Asia, the report found that 76 percent of institutions are trading “a lot less”, with 35 and 40 percent of desks responding that they were trading “well below average - down 20 percent” and “below average - down 10 percent” respectively.”</p>

<p>I guess I’m glad that I’ve still held onto those 9/22 545 aapl calls and the 9/22 55 qqq calls.</p>

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<p>[Is</a> Mark Zuckerberg in over his hoodie as Facebook CEO? - latimes.com](<a href=“http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-zuckerberg-future-20120817,0,2667542.story]Is”>Is Mark Zuckerberg in over his hoodie as Facebook CEO?)</p>

<p>The media shouldn’t get my hopes up. Zuck has so many shares he cannot be thrown out of his stolen company.</p>

<p>DD who had never mentioned shares or Dow or IPO inquired if I was going to put money in FB at the IPO. On hearing that, I should have trusted my instincts and shorted right then and there…</p>

<p>I’ve been in cash for months now. </p>

<p>Just waiting for the post-crash bull market to finally finish. </p>

<p>That will probably take months.</p>

<p>Looks like the ECB is going to cap yield.</p>

<p>That should be interesting.</p>

<p>Any ideas with how to protect 545 9/22 aapl calls? Put spreads are too expensive including the ratio ones. Combining the put spread with writing calls doesn’t buy me much as I still can’t reduce the cost that much unless the calls that I write aren’t that far from the current price. I’m thinking of selling the 545 and buying the 600 which still gives me a delta close to .9 and I’m pocketing the $55 difference.</p>