The investment..speculation, out right gambling thread

<p>I wonder what their gates are going to made out of. It would have to be pretty beefy to survive the impact of one of those capsules.</p>

<p>Someone is going to pick up $360 million lump sum Power Ball lottery winnings check in Tallahassee in 15 minutes. Won’t be me!</p>

<p>[Lottery</a> officials: Zephyrhills woman steps forward as Powerball winner, claims biggest jackpot in U.S. history | Tampa Bay Times](<a href=“http://www.tampabay.com/news/humaninterest/lottery-schedules-press-conference-for-big-news-on-powerball-winner/2124950]Lottery”>Zephyrhills woman claims largest single Powerball jackpot in U.S. history)</p>

<p>where do you guys see the S & P going to?</p>

<p>My H was impressed by this woman who made $41 million in 3 years doing options trading.</p>

<p>How believable is this? She sure looks like she knows what she is talking about.</p>

<p>[Trader</a> - made $41 million profit in 3 years option trading - YouTube](<a href=“- YouTube”>- YouTube)</p>

<p>Let me see, the day before the May 14th Tepper Tuesday, spy closed at 1633.77 and shot up to a high of 1687 on May 22. SPY couldn’t hold 1635 then 1620 and now QQQ, DIA, SPY, IWM, XLF are below May 14th close. SPY must hold 1611. Probably next support is 1593.</p>

<p>Sounds like the mother of one of my BILs. She left them a huge inheritance and she was disabled but she could really trade options.</p>

<p>Ognopgod, I have doubts about her.</p>

<p>The show is pretty bad.</p>

<p>Karen is selling strangles…out of the money puts and calls in size. Karen did not turn 100,000 or 600,000 into 41 million. It is not totally clear how much she has undermanagement. Sounds like she doubled her money. </p>

<p>She is putting on trades that have a probability of success about 95 percent of the time. She makes a little 95 percent of the time and over time that adds up… It takes a lot of capital to do what she is doing. I don’t know what kind of margin her firm is giving her but I think the guy
off the street would have to put up quite a bit of capital lowering his or her potential returns.</p>

<p>If the market moves more than two standard deviations in two months
she is going to lose and maybe lose a lot. </p>

<p>These trades are not riskless.</p>

<p>The strategy…</p>

<p><a href=“http://www.theoptionsguide.com/short-strangle.aspx[/url]”>http://www.theoptionsguide.com/short-strangle.aspx&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

<p>I sell puts with ~85 - 92% probability and I’m only generating 8-10% a year doing this. To generate more, the probabilities must be lower. What is her secret?</p>

<p>There is no secret. She sells puts and call though.</p>

<p>She is not doing anything amazing.</p>

<p>Turning that amount of money into 41,000,000 is pretty amazing in my book</p>

<p>You didn’t watch the video…</p>

<p>Only part of it - I’ll watch it tonight</p>

<p>Don’t bother. It is stupid.</p>

<p>Karen did not turn 100,000 or 600,000 into $41 million. She made some money and then she raised a lot of money. How much is unclear. Lots and lots.</p>

<p>She is just doing the strategy I highlighted a few posts ago.</p>

<p>I watched the whole thing. I must have missed something because I didn’t see anything which discussed her strategy. However I probably didn’t pay really good attention.</p>

<p>Lol…</p>

<p>Well…I am not going to watch it again. It is towards the end of the video. Definitely second half…</p>

<p>Karen is trying to make money within 2 standard deviation moves…</p>

<p>This link is a little different. </p>

<p>[Chart</a> Of The Day: S&P 500 Now At Extremes - StreetTalk Live](<a href=“http://www.streettalklive.com/daily-x-change/1702-chart-of-the-day-s-p-500-now-at-extremes.html]Chart”>http://www.streettalklive.com/daily-x-change/1702-chart-of-the-day-s-p-500-now-at-extremes.html)</p>

<p>It sounds like she claims to have made 80 mill and out of that 41 million was profit. She now owns her own company and employs 6 people. Perhaps it’s a publicity stunt trying to sell the $20k class. There is no mention of her company or her full name but wouldn’t be surprised that that could also appeal to her exclusive market.</p>

<p>I searched more and found some discussions about her: [Karen</a> The Super Trader | TradeKing](<a href=“http://community.tradeking.com/forum/categories/general/topics/8706-karen-the-super-trader/forum_posts]Karen”>http://community.tradeking.com/forum/categories/general/topics/8706-karen-the-super-trader/forum_posts)</p>

<p>In any case, thanks all for the feedback. Will pass it along to H.</p>

<p>The world is full of people who claimed that I used this strategy and quickly made a bazillion dollars so you can to. Since I’ve discovered that my “blink” is not very good, I prefer to follow relatively simple strategies that I can understand and (ideally) have been backtested for a lot more than three years. (Yeah, I know–my XIV strategy does not meet that backtesting standard. But once in a while, things just make sense on the numbers).</p>

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<p>You only have to send me $179 for my system …</p>

<p>or,</p>

<p>Attend one of my free seminars in a city near you. Seats are filling up quickly so call right now!</p>

<p>Lol…</p>