<p>RML, what evidence do you have for this? If you look at average sat scores and incoming class stats, UChicago’s students are probably a band up from nd, uiuc, and Michigan, and a bit ahead of wash u. NU is probably a straight competitor, as is duke and dartmouth. </p>
<p>I’m not sure why the talented uchicago students who tend to have just as strong stats as those going to duke and dartmouth would in fact NOT be looking at duke and dartmouth. </p>
<p>What do you think about this scenario:</p>
<p>UChicago takes in lots of ea apps, which have no overlap with the Scea apps at harvard yale etc. chicago accepts a lot of ea applicants - like - 1300 - , who basically have no chance at harvard etc in the rd round. The school then recruits the accepts hard for the next few months, and these students may have one or two good rd options available (like cornell or dartmouth), but a good chunk (say 65-70%) go to uchicago. So the school gets about 900 matriculated from the 1300 ea accepts. Uchicago then thinks that, like any other good school - it can win 40-50% of cross admits in the rd round. So it accepts about 1000 students to fill the remaining ~500 seats in the class. </p>
<p>The above is probably the most likely scenario. Put another way, uchicago doesn’t compete as directly with harvard et al any more, because that would be a tremendous yield drain. Duke does the same thing by relying heavily on ED, but doesn’t get as large a percentage of the actual class coming in early. </p>
<p>In terms of direct comparisons, I find it unlikely that uchicago is simply skimming off the top of lower band schools’ accepted students. There are a relatively small number of top 5%, 1500+ scoring students (UChicago’s median students). Further, much of the top hs talent tends to be concentrated on the coasts, and the bulk of UChicago’s class actually comes from the two coasts. People on the coasts don’t look at Michigan and uiuc as much. </p>
<p>With the overall hs population declining, interest in top colleges increasing, and most hs talent on the coasts, i find it difficult to believe that uchicago every year gets the ~1450 sat 1500+ kids whose only other options are NU, nd, etc. where is the evidence for that? Could you explain further?</p>