Two questions, the first is probably easier to follow than the second:
(1) Looking at the attached link, and selecting Campus => UCLA, am I reading the detailed enrollment data correctly that UCLA’s yield rate for the Class of 2029 that enrolled last fall was 48%?
(2) For the Class of 2029: If UCLA accepted a total of 1,150 students who ended up enrolling at UC Berkeley, and if UC Berkeley accepted a total of 1,607 students who ended up enrolling at UCLA, is it fair to say that UCLA “wins” the cross-admit battle with UC Berkeley 58% of the time (ie., 1,607 / 2757)? Or am I not interpreting the UC cross-admit data properly?
In the “Student characteristics comparison” in Enrollment destinations of UC admits | University of California , you can select a specific admitted campus and breakdown by HS GPA. You can then see that yield to that same campus falls as the HS GPA range increases. This is not surprising, since stronger applicants are more likely to have other attractive admission and scholarship offers, and many high school seniors favor the most selective college(s) that they get admitted to.
I agree about 48% yield. This can be confirmed with other sources such as Admissions | Academic Planning and Budget – 6553/13659 = 48%. Among students who were admitted to both UCLA and Berkeley, it looks like UCLA won cross admits more often than Berkeley:
1607 chose UCLA
1150 chose Berkeley
??? chose other colleges
This is a change in trend from previous years, for example 10 years ago, the stats for students admitted to both UCLA and Berkeley were:
1422 chose UCLA
2476 chose Berkeley
??? chose other colleges
I think you also have to look at more than who won head to head - because there’s different majors involved, etc.
I swear though, on the few cases that come up here, it seems like people feel guilty in this comparison, if they choose UCLA….like they took the lesser option - which is a shame, frankly in any comparison of two schools - if one is right for the student.
I’d bet that applicant geography and economics also play a big role. Significantly more people live in SoCal so likely more applicants to both schools from SoCal. For those in the ~30% low income group, much easier on the family to remain within a <half day’s drive from home.
Academically, they are equal, so go for fit (and on-campus housing).
Thanks to all for the helpful replies, and to @Data10 for the link to the very informative UCLA Academic Planning and Budget website. Lots of good information in there.
Also interesting point by @bluebayou about applicant geography and familial economic status. SoCal’s population far exceeds NorCal’s, and for kids coming from tight-knit families, driving proximity to home would be an important consideration.