UVA chances please?

Yes I’m hoping vcu is my safety school: no arts program. I’ve only just discovered my love of art last year and while I think I have some potential to improve in ceramics (my teacher is submitting my work to a relatively selective jury show) my technical skills are severely underdeveloped. I am still practicing and will try to work very hard this summer though so hopefully I can improve enough to put together a portfolio…
Thank you all for the essay help! And I don’t really want to go to CNU but I’ll try looking at JMU and Richmond. I mainly suggested VCU, UNC, and William and Mary bc I just visited them for spring break and rly enjoyed the feel of each.