Waitlisted to UC Davis

Waitlisted
GPA: 3.83
Major: environmental policy and planning
Igetc: Finished
Pre-reqs: 3 left
Can anyone tell me what my chances are of getting in? I am a transfer student trying to transfer to UC Davis after 1 year instead of 2. I only have 50 units instead of the required 60 to apply but I was able to apply after a year as an epap major and I really want to go to Davis as an epap major.