<p>Thank you very much, John McCain, but I am not a Georgian; nor do I care to be.</p>
<p>Saakashvili decided to poke the Russian bear with a stick, and the bear swiped back. Why he did this seems unclear, but maybe he was remembering Kosovo and assumed the West might party like it was 1999.</p>
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This is true. H and I have been watching Russia closely (which apparently is more than the Bush administration has done, preferring instead to play in the Middle East sandbox), from the perspective of Americans who have visited Russia. We were there during Putin’s second term, and there was anxiety among the people about who (or what) was going to take over after his term expired. Putin kept the country together after the Soviet collapse; things got better for ordinary citizens; he gave them back their religion; he rallied nationalistic pride. Well, Putin solved that problem: Presto! Prime Minister. Americans see this as an authoritarian power grab. Russians see it as security, a strong hand at the helm.</p>
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Apparently not. No matter. He’s just parroting the current administration’s lines. Is he just saber-rattling, like Bush is doing with NATO (assuming Bush IS just saber-rattling and not trying to force something for his legacy, which is in tatters), or does he just have the foreign policy sophistication of a 12 year old? Arms good. Talks bad. In any event, McCain’s starting to really scare me.</p>
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No, Georgia just attacked Russians, which the majority of citizens in the two “breakaway republics” are. The Soviets, knowing how much trouble ethnic minorities can be, administered the territories as autonomous units within Georgia–except for Abkhazia which Stalin, a native Georgian, arbitrarily included within Georgia (laying the groundwork for the conflict today). The Abkhaz and South Ossetians are bona fide citizens of the Russian Federation and happy to accept Russian protection in their quest to be rid of Georgians once and for all. If a foreign entity starts bombing settlements full of Russian citizens, should it be a surprise that Russia bombs back?</p>
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See “Sochi Agreement of 1992.”</p>
<p>James Traub, in the NYT piece, noted the parallel between Russia’s support for self-rule of Abkhazia and South Ossetia and the support the West gave to Kosovo’s “independence.” Parallels can also be drawn with Iraqi Kurdistan and Darfur. But Traub also is quick to judge Russia as aggressive and hostile. His is an occidocentric view.</p>
<p>The Georgians are not evil people, but they have had a string of horrible national politicians. And the US has had a hand in this bloodbath by arming them, militarily training them, and encouraging them to fight for “territorial integrity.” US foreign policy seems to be "Serbia, Abkhazia, and South Ossetia bad (aligned with Moscow), Georgia good (aligned with the west and wants to join NATO). There are a lot of differences between Georgia and Serbia, but this kind of thinking is a political dead end and will not stop the bloodshed or restore peace to the Caucasus.</p>
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Oh, yes. Look to the Ukraine next.</p>