What are my chance! Please help and be hones.

Civil Engineering
Modesto junior College currently, started off 1 year at CSU Stanislaus
IGETC: Completed at the end of spring
Major Prep: All required and recommended courses should be finished at the end of this spring.
Will have honors certificate and AA-T in Math and Physics at the end of spring
GPA: 3.6

I want a realistic assessment of what my chances are of getting into these schools: CSU cal poly, long beach, UC Davis, Irvine, UCLA. I realize I am in a unique situation since I have previously attended a CSU which in a weird way puts me at a disadvantage in applying to UC’s. Should I even bother applying to my top choice of schools like ucla or Davis? My back up plan is to attend San Jose state which I feel confident I should get accepted. Any information and your opinion is helpful.