What are my chances - UCs, U Miami, Baylor, Tulane ...

I would appreciate if the experts here can give their views on the chances of getting accepted to the following colleges:

Asian Girl from California
Unweighted GPA: 3.67 (From one of the most competitive schools in the state)
UC GPA: 3.83
SAT: 1420
No school ranking
4 AP courses (APs are offered only in the Junior and Senior year)
Intended Major: Psychology/Biology

Junior Varsity swimmer
Varsity Cross country/Track and field
Research under college professor
Community service (Teaching music, Senior center)
Swim instructor

All UCs except (UCB, UCLA)
University of Miami
University of Wisconsin
University of Washington
UT, Austin
Boston University
Santa Clara University
University of Colorado, Boulder
University of Minnesota, Twin Cities
Penn State

Not looking for financial aid.

Thank you for your time and opinion!

A capped weighted UC GPA will make the majority of the UC’s tough admits.

You will be evaluated in the context of your competitive HS but apply widely.

2019 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 capped weighted and not major specific:
UCB: 12%
UCLA: 7%
UCSD: 33%
UCSB: 32%
UCD: 47%
UCI: 35%
UCSC: 72%
UCR: 87%
UCM: 96%

2020 UC capped weighted GPA averages along with 25th-75th percentile range:
UCB: 4.22 (4.13-4.30)
UCLA: 4.25 (4.18-4.31)
UCSD: 4.18(4.04-4.28)
UCSB: 4.17 (4.03-4.27)
UCI: 4.11 (3.96-4.26)
UCD: 4.11 (3.97-4.25)
UCSC: 3.94 (3.71-4.16)
UCR: 3.88 (3.65-4.11)
UCM: 3.68 (3.40-3.96)

UCB, UCI and UCSC will be test blind this admission cycle regardless of the court injunction ruling.

2020 Data:
25th - 75th percentiles for SAT totals:
UCB: 1320-1560
UCLA: 1350-1550
UCSD: 1310-1520
UCSB: 1290-1510
UCD: 1230-1490
UCI: 1280-1510
UCSC: 1170-1440
UCR: 1110-1380
UCM: 980-1260

Best of luck and expect unpredictability this admission cycle.

This was 4 years ago, but my daughter’s stats were nearly identical to yours and she was accepted into Baylor (with $16,000 a year merit scholarship), but not into UT Austin. With UT Austin a lot depends on what college they’re trying to get into. My daughter was pre-Med which is a tough one to get into. She absolutely loved Baylor and is now at Baylor College of Medicine so it all worked out perfectly.

Baylor…very likely

UT-Austin…very unlikely

Thank you so much for your responses.

My daughter wants to do pre-med too. Yes, we totally realize UT Austin is a super reach. Would be very happy if she gets accepted to Baylor. Heard they have a very good pre-med/med track.

@kscm91 Glad to hear that your daughter loved Baylor and is in Med School at Baylor!