I am a rising high school senior in an affluent community. I have a 36 on my ACT, five 5’s on AP exams, and three 4’s. I have a 3.92 unweighted, 4.2 weighted, and will be taking all my classes, for my senior year at a large State College main campus. I have over 600 volunteer hours and am a member of 4 school clubs. I am also shadowing a neurosurgeon along with doing research( with the surgeon), and hope to have a published paper. Realistically, what are my chances of getting into a college with an exceptional pre-med program, like Case Western, Duke, Northwestern, Johns Hopkins, and Harvard?
From what you have said, if the APS are in impact subjects , your recent and essays are good, you stand an above average chance of admissions at those schools. More so at CW than the others. Still a true lottery ticket at Harvard.
Go on ahead and apply to wherever you want to go. Either use a Restricted EA card at Harvard paired with a state school safety for a very slight boost getting in there. So slight that it’s still a lottery ticket, do understand. You have no real hooks , though an excellent academic candidate of which H gets more than they can accept.
Or you can do ED to another one of your choices which will give you a boost in admissions and also apply EA to CW and a true safety.
Im assuming you are set in terms of finances here.
You are a competitive applicant but you need some safeties and more matches. Your list is all reaches except Case which I would say would be a match.
Realistically it will depend on how your essays turn out. Have you begun thinking about how you are going to approach the most important part of your college application?