<p>With regard to JHS’s recent post, the statistical fluctuations in small numbers tend to be large, on a relative basis. So I am willing to entertain the possibility that a drop from a pattern like 5, 4, 6, 5, 4, 4, 5 to 0, 0, 1, 0, 1 might not reflect any actual change in admissions standards and the ability to meet them, just an unusual concentration of favorable outcomes, followed by an unusual concentration of adverse ones. On PG’s behalf, I will observe in advance that the school is not “entitled” to any admits, just based on the past pattern. However, this sort of looks to me like a shift. I suppose that additional years of data accumulation will reveal which explanation is correct.</p>