I think part of the dynamic here is that there is a wide swath of non-uncommon human experience which under current standards one person could define as an assault, and another as a mistake, based on personal factors. One could interpret the data about women who were assaulted in high school being more likely to be assaulted in college as indicating that they were especially vulnerable to assault, or that their prior experience made them less able to object years later because of PTSD. Or it could mean that a woman who had processed a prior marginal situation as an assault in which she was the victim is much more likely to process the next marginal situation as an assault, compared to a classmate who had previously processed the same general situation as something other than an assault and herself as something other than a victim, or who faced that situation for the first time with no personal precedent.
My memory of collegiate sex is that there was always a high risk of ambivalence, insecurity, and disappointment on both sides (or even, in some cases, all sides). It was easy to feel threatened; it was easy to be wrongfooted. It was easy to drink to get yourself to do things you knew you might not do if you didn’t drink. Expectations – about the sex itself, and about the relationships in which sex took place – were often unrealistic. Especially in the early college years, people didn’t really know themselves, and they didn’t really know each other, either. Everything was trial and error, and error was a pretty common outcome. This isn’t the kind of thing I discuss in granular detail with my kids, but I don’t think their entry into adulthood was all that different from their parents’.
As I have said a number of times already, I don’t think all that much has changed. Every Saturday night on every campus there are dozens, hundreds, thousands of sexual encounters, some aspect of which doesn’t go well. There aren’t dozens, hundreds, thousands of sexual assault complaints getting generated by that. Like their parents and grandparents, I think the vast majority of students think “Well, I learned something about myself and that other person there. I’ll handle things better next time.” Both (all) participants. They don’t think it’s necessary or appropriate to call on college administrators to referee their sex lives. But every once in a while, someone does, and it’s happening enough that the colleges are becoming sex referees.
(I do not at all mean to be complaining about disciplining conduct that all of us would agree is deeply anti-social: Use of physical force, threats, intimidation, putting drugs in people’s drinks, deliberately incapacitating people to exploit them, deliberately exploiting people who are clearly incapacitated, harassing. stalking. Conduct to which no reasonable person besides an S&M enthusiast would consent – that’s not what I am calling “marginal.”)