What schools could I get into?

I’m a high school junior, a female, middle class, and white.

My UW GPA is a 3.6, though my weighted is a 4.3. I’ve taken three APs (hope to get more during senior year,) and seven honors classes. I was an IB student freshman year, but I left to go to a competitive art school in which I take a multitude of writing courses, like poetry, fiction, literary criticism, oral interpretation, journalism, and creative nonfiction. I’ve been published in a literary magazine (and I’m editor on my school’s lit mag!) I’ve also won several contests and Scholastic awards for writing.
I am/have/do:
-organized several school events
-took dance for ten years
-violinist; play in the highest level of my city’s youth orchestra
-a member of National Honor Society and the Literary Arts Honor Society
-participate in the spoken word club, am hoping to president next year
-volunteer at the symphony and at the library
-attended competitive summer programs for journalism (idk if this is helpful)
-taken a few extra classes online

However, my grades freshman year were very, very low, and I was so traumatized from my IB experience I didn’t take very difficult classes sophomore year. I’m not taking very difficult classes this year, mainly because the creative writing requires four classes junior year, and I only have eight at school. I’m taking AP psych online right now.

My ideal schools are UC Davis and UT @ Austin. Do you think i could get in, even with my low GPA and lack of difficult classes?

Run the Supermatch tool on the left side of this page. Once you get some ideas run the Net Price Calculators on each school’s web site and talk to your parents about the numbers. You’ve listed State Us from multiple states so you would be full pay at some of them.

UC’s have their own GPA calculation and only use 10-11th grades. For UC Davis, you want around a 4.0+ to be competitive. UC’s also put a high emphasis on HS course rigor, test scores and essays.
Also intended major will be a huge factor in your chances.

https://rogerhub.com/gpa-calculator-uc/

GPA and test scores of middle 25%-75% students

High School GPA: 3.95 - 4.25
ACT Composite Score: 26 - 32
SAT Critical Reading: 550 - 680
SAT Mathematics: 590 - 750

You need to repost at the end of Junior year with your UC GPA and test scores.

Good Luck.