<p>As people have said here before, all auditioned BFA programs are selective. There are a lot of rejections from all of them.</p>
<p>You DO have a chance at any of them, if you prepare your audition material well and if they like your audition. That is the most important thing.</p>
<p>It is very difficult for anybody here on this board to know how you might do. </p>
<p>Most students who are interested in a BFA program apply to quite a few of them and are happy if they get accepted at even one. Getting accepted at more than one and having a choice is a wonderful thing, and not something to be taken for granted.</p>
<p>Some people who are not accepted at any BFA programs go ahead and attend one of the BA programs where they have been accepted. It is also possible to take a gap year, acquire more theatre training, and apply to BFA programs again.</p>
<p>Of all the schools you have been talking about, Carnegie Mellon is by far the most selective. (I am talking about artistic selectivity, not academic selectivity; as TheRealKEVP pointed out, your record is such that you really needn’t be too concerned about academic selectivity.) Even students who have had years of theatrical training and experience do not necessarily expect to be accepted there. </p>
<p>You should go ahead and audition for CMU if you want to. If you are going to be doing only one on-site audition, you might conceivably want to do it at one where the odds of acceptance are a little bit higher.</p>