<p>[WU</a> cuts number of offers to next freshman class | Student Life](<a href=“http://www.studlife.com/news/2011/03/23/wu-cuts-number-of-offers-to-next-freshman-class/]WU”>WU cuts number of offers to next freshman class - Student Life)</p>
<p>This is old news. That StudLife article is from 5 days ago.</p>
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<p>I don’t see this ending for a few more years. Last year’s uncertainty led to students applying to more schools, and this year’s will do the same. At some point, high school guidance office’s will have to limit the number of transcripts that go out.</p>
<p>So much of the process is automated these days, why should guidance limit the number of Apps.</p>
<p>When you think about it, the top top tier schools are accepting anywhere between 10 and 25% of their applicants. Let’s assume that some of the applicants are easy rejects. To oversimplify, if a well qualified student has a 1/3 chance of getting into any one of these schools, he would need to apply to 6 schools in order to have a >90% chance of getting into 1 (formula is 1-(.667^n) where n is the number of schools applied to). I’ll let someone better at me than math to confirm this.</p>
<p>At the end of the day, I think you’re going to see the top qualified students apply to this many or more schools to have a very reasonable chance at getting in somewhere.</p>
<p>If I’m doing my math right, according to the article the RD acceptance rate this year is ~14.7%. That’s crazy. I would have never expected it to drop that quickly in such a short time.</p>
<p>HuffPost puts WUSTL at 15.4%:</p>
<p>[College</a> Admissions Rates Drop For The Class Of 2015](<a href=“College Admissions Rates Drop For The Class Of 2015 | HuffPost College”>College Admissions Rates Drop For The Class Of 2015 | HuffPost College)</p>
<p>If I’m doing my math right, and assuming that this year’s yield is about the same as last year’s, WUSTL would admit around 140 students off the waitlist this year.</p>
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<p>I wouldn’t be surprised if the yield rate for this year actually increases. For some reason, WashU is becoming a much more desirable school; not one than is an Ivy League safety.</p>