You have a chance at all of them, and might wind up rejected from all of them. Your family income will leave you full pay at Rutgers and TCNJ, which you should apply to as safeties and financial safeties. And you REALLY should apply to Alabama and other schools which give full rides for NMF (make sure to apply for finalist status, too), because you’ll save your family at least 150K over what they’d have to pay for your in-state flagship.
Reality sucks, so hope for the best (you obviously are, with all those reaches), but plan for the unfortunate reality, which means well-considered financial and academic safeties. The deadline for submission of all materials at Alabama is Jan 15th.
https://afford.ua.edu/scholarships/national-merit/.
It is MORE than a full ride, and tons of other NMF/NMSF go there now, because of the full ride, meaning that you’ll meet plenty of your academic peers there. Wouldn’t it be nice to come out of college with NO debt, especially if you’re majoring in something that will probably lead to low paid or even unpaid internships and eventually law school?