I would agree that all but George Mason is a reach. So first question is would you be happy there? If so keep you list as is. I agree that George Washington is reach/target with your stats. The advice to look at the stats and if ED or EA school to get a better picture of the admission history I think is key. My kids got yield protected at Northeastern but it is a crap shoot for anyone and gets harder every year. I would say ED to UVA would increase your chances EA not really