<p>@EastCoast1, I would read GC’s message just like you, given you didn’t mention her score. If she was not on the list of SF then how did he know her score?? It might be somewhere on their system, but I don’t think GC would spend time retrieving the score to mention that the specific score would be in the range. Am I too positive? I don’t think so…</p>
<p>D15 OH official letter presented by principal and GC. Hoping this means I don’t have to sell a kidney…</p>
<p>My D just texted me a picture of her letter. Big sigh of relief here to have official confirmation. She had a 219 (we are in TX) so we were a bit less stressed than two weeks ago but nice to really know. I have budget meetings all afternoon and now may be able to pay attention! 
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<p>So far, 8 States have confirmed cut-off scores. </p>
<p>State/ 2015 Cut-off/ Change from last yr/ GMT’s prediction</p>
<p>FL/ 211/ -3/ 213
IN/ 212/ -3/ 213
KS/ 213/ -3/ 214
KY/ 210/ -1/ 210
LA/ 208/ -1/ 209
NV/ 208/ -4/ 210
OH/ 213/ -2/ 214
TX/ 218/ -1/ 218</p>
<p>None of this year’s cut-offs are higher than last year’s. Obviously, GMT’s crystal ball has been working quite well. None of the confirmed cut-off scores are above the GMT’s predicted scores. I just hope/believe this trend is going on. [-O< </p>
<p>Fellow bubble sitters, you might be able to get little bit of peace of mind from the predicted cut-offs from GMTplus7’s crystal ball:
<a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/national-merit-scholarships/1680586-sept-madness-prediction-contest-for-nat-l-merit-semifinalist-cutoff.html#latest”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/national-merit-scholarships/1680586-sept-madness-prediction-contest-for-nat-l-merit-semifinalist-cutoff.html#latest</a> </p>
<p>still looking for a better number in Illinois. anyone getting better information???</p>
<p>New York? Down 4 would be very nice, thank you very much.</p>
<p>I would feel better about @GMTplus7 'a prediction of 223 for District of Columbia (down 1 from last year) if we got news from MA or NJ that GMT also predicted to go down to 223! Seriously, this week is bad for my waistline!</p>
<p>@pom2015 I think LA went down 1 pt this year because they were at 209 last year according to the chart</p>
<p>Tennessee down 2 would be very nice as well.</p>
<p>See my earlier post, #2077 for Illinois.</p>
<p>@greatfallsmom, thanks! I corrected it. I’m definitely malfunctioning even for a very simple task! 
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<p>Called our school in CA. They said they still haven’t received anything and expecting them next week…still hoping for 221</p>
<p>@pom2015 I am just happy that LA went down - for the last 3 years LA stayed at 209 (even last year when everyone else went up at least a few points) so the fact it dropped 1 pt this year is encouraging! Thanks for doing this for us!!</p>
<p>@greatfallsmom, it is also for me. I’m trying to find any positive evidences. I didn’t notice that the cut-off at LA had been the same during past 3 years but went down this year. I believe it IS a good sign! </p>
<p>DC got in with 221 in MD. Cut off score is 221.</p>
<p>@pom2015 If you click on the predictions link you posted, GMT also put up a chart for I think the last 8 years of scores for every state, so that’s where you can see LA has been at 209 for the past 3 years. That’s prob also why the prediction for LA was for it to stay at 209 again. So glad for the -1 drop!</p>
<p>212 is</p>
<p>NM: 212 is in!</p>
<p>@EastCoast1 did u see post #2114 that MD DOES have a cut-off of 221? Looks like your reading of the wink-wink was right! Congrats!!</p>
<p>@EastCost1 congratulations to your DD.</p>