College endowments are buried.

<p>[Crash</a> Course - Barrons.com](<a href=“http://online.barrons.com/article/SB122610188023510005.html?mod=b_hpp_9_0002_b_this_weeks_magazine_home_top]Crash”>http://online.barrons.com/article/SB122610188023510005.html?mod=b_hpp_9_0002_b_this_weeks_magazine_home_top)</p>

<p>"The president of Amherst, a Massachusetts liberal-arts college, recently said its endowment is off about 25% since June 30, when it totaled $1.7 billion. Maine’s Colby College said its endowment has fallen by a similar amount since its peak a year ago. Wesleyan, in Middletown, Conn., is delaying the construction of a major science building and filling vacant positions only when necessary, to help cut $10 million to $15 million in expenses in the next few years. Cornell is freezing most hiring and delaying new projects.</p>

<p>The three super-rich Ivies – Harvard, Yale and Princeton – also are getting pinched, although few will cry for them. They’ve been trend-setters over the past decade, generating superlative returns from an asset-allocation mix that looks nothing like what individuals typically maintain. These schools are light on U.S. stocks and bonds, and heavy on illiquid assets, such as private-equity, real-estate and commodity holdings, and hedge funds.</p>

<p>Now these schools’ endowment managers ought to be considering more investments in stocks and bonds, as alternative assets have offered too little diversification and liquidity while generating returns that indeed are correlated with the miserable ones now being turned in by the stock market."</p>

<p><a href=“http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/08/education/08college.html?ref=education[/url]”>http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/08/education/08college.html?ref=education&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

<p>[More</a> Pain for College Endowments - The Paper Trail (usnews.com)](<a href=“http://www.usnews.com/blogs/paper-trail/2008/10/27/more-pain-for-college-endowments.html]More”>http://www.usnews.com/blogs/paper-trail/2008/10/27/more-pain-for-college-endowments.html)</p>

<p>"More endowment numbers have come in, and it is not looking good at all.</p>

<p>Northwestern lost more than 14 percent of its nearly $7 billion endowment. According to university President Henry Bienen, the school’s investment situation is “the worst since the Great Depression,” a position that may affect faculty hires and future construction.</p>

<p>The University of Wisconsin reports a staggering 20 percent drop in its endowment, a loss of at least $300 million since the stock market’s rapid decline this fall. Plus, the Badger fundraising campaign is also feeling the hurt from the economy, with the number of gifts to the foundation down 12 percent from last year.</p>

<p>The University of Maryland has lost about $63 million since the beginning of the year, a 15 percent drop. On the bright side, Maryland has seen relatively steady fundraising returns, with its capital campaign running slightly ahead of schedule.</p>

<p>Michigan State’s $1.4 billion investment portfolio declined by about 10 percent for the quarter that ended September 30. MSU’s president, however, did not betray much panic; some maintenance may be delayed, but no major plans will be stalled, so far.</p>

<p>“You put together reserve and contingency funds and we’ve done that,” she said. “You have to keep them for this kind of storm. We’ve tried to plan in a way that we minimized vulnerability to shorter-term issues. Now obviously if this lasted for a very long time, everyone is going to be in trouble.”</p>

<p>Seattle University also lost 10 percent of its endowment, which now sits at $200 million.</p>

<p>On the good news front, following the trend of other well-situated schools, Princeton’s endowment grew 5.6 percent last fiscal year (although not quite as impressive as the previous year’s 24.7 percent), while the University of Michigan saw 6.4 percent growth in its $7.6 billion endowment as of June 30."</p>

<p>[The</a> Wesleyan Argus - Peer institutions face endownment losses, cut programs](<a href=“http://www.wesleyanargus.com/article/7036]The”>The Wesleyan Argus | Article Review: The Chemistry of Common Life)</p>

<p>[Crisis</a> Shakes the Foundations of the Ivory Tower - WSJ.com](<a href=“http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122420679058043423.html?mod=googlenews_wsj]Crisis”>http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122420679058043423.html?mod=googlenews_wsj)</p>

<p>The financial and economic tsunami that has ripped through Wall Street and the housing market is beginning to wash across the college green.</p>

<p>A campus construction boom is slowing, administrations are cutting jobs and faculty may be forced to pay more into their pension funds. The demise of a $9.3 billion investment fund used by 900 colleges has some schools scrambling to pay their bills.</p>

<p>It all brings a gloomy pall to what has been, until recently, a booming industry. Higher education has grown rapidly in the last half-century into a formidable slice of the economy. U.S. colleges and universities spend $334 billion annually, employ 3.4 million people and and enroll 17.5 million students.</p>

<p>The boom was powered by a growing stream of donations, strong returns on endowments, rising enrollments and tuition prices that climbed well above the rate of inflation – paid, more and more, by families who borrowed heavily to meet the bills.</p>

<p>All of these wealth generators for the Ivory Tower are facing threats in the current economic turmoil. The cratering stock market has already hit endowments. Falling markets typically take a toll on gifts, many of which are made, for tax reasons, in the form of appreciated stocks and bonds. Analysts and schools are predicting even bigger tuition increases than those seen so far. But this time, families may be in no position to meet the higher bills. Falling house prices have sapped their ability to use home-equity loans for tuition payments, and the credit crunch has forced many lenders to stop making student loans.</p>

<p>“This is the worst environment for colleges I can remember,” says Mark Ruloff, a consultant at Watson Wyatt in Arlington, Va., who advises college endowments. With their ability to raise capital curtailed by the crisis, schools may be forced to sell their most liquid endowment assets at a time when the markets are not offering much, he predicts.</p>

<p>Molly Corbett Broad, president of the American Council on Education, which represents 1,600 colleges and universities, says public schools face the greatest challenge in a slumping economy because they get as much as three-quarters of their revenue from state taxpayers.</p>

<p>She says students could face double-digit tuition increases next year, up from the typical 4% to 6% level in recent years. Some university presidents privately confided to her that their institutions, which she declined to name, are even considering midyear tuition hikes. Ms. Broad adds that small private colleges without hefty endowments may have to consider merging with bigger rivals.</p>

<p>Some colleges are already feeling squeezed. As part of steep statewide budget cuts, the University of Massachusetts system this week said it would have to cut its budget by about $25 million, or 5%. The flagship Amherst campus froze hiring in all but the most critical positions. To avoid reductions in financial aid or increases in fees, the University of Massachusetts president, Jack M. Wilson, promised work force cuts and consolidations.</p>

<p>Boston University’s president sent faculty a letter late last month announcing that the school is imposing a freeze on new hires and new construction projects. The crisis, Robert A. Brown wrote, has “created unprecedented volatility for our students, their parents and the University.”</p>

<p>The debt markets’ breakdown comes at an inopportune time for colleges, which have been building gyms and dorms to attract top students. College construction soared to $15 billion in 2006 from $10 billion in 2001, according to College Planning and Management magazine. The figure slipped slightly to $14.5 billion in 2007 amid concerns about a weakening economy.</p>

<p>The state of Colorado has frozen hiring and state construction projects, including about $50 million worth at public universities, such as the renovation of an arts and science center at the University of Colorado at Boulder.</p>

<p>The University of California, Berkeley, faces $28 million in cuts or unavoidable cost increases for the academic year that began in July, according to Nathan Brostrom, vice-chancellor of administration. He says that rising health care costs will result in an 11% increase in the cost of providing medical and dental benefits to staff starting in 2009. Starting in July, Berkeley faculty and staff have been told to expect to make contributions to their pension funds for the first time since 1990 because slumping stock markets have eaten away the pension surplus.</p>

<p>Before the meltdown, richer colleges such as Harvard and Yale had responded to pressure from Washington and started to spend more of their endowments to lessen the tuition burden. Endowments have swelled in recent years, with 785 of the wealthiest holding more than $400 billion in assets as of 2007.</p>

<p>Now, Moody’s Investors Service, the bond rater, is projecting endowment returns to be negative for the first time since 2002. In a report Thursday, the ratings agency estimates that college endowment losses averaged 5% to 7% in the year ended June 30. Since then, including spending and stock market losses, Moody’s figures colleges experienced another 30% decline in cash and investments.</p>

<p>The crisis has even made colleges wary about where they keep their ready cash. Earlier this month, a fund that invests cash for about 900 colleges suddenly froze withdrawals. Schools, which can now withdraw about 40% of their money, may not be able to get all of it back until 2011.</p>

<p>Before Wachovia Corp., the fund’s trustee, said it was terminating the fund, it held $9.3 billion in assets. The Commonfund Short-Term Fund, used like a checking account at many schools, invested in some mortgage-backed securities that now can’t be sold for their full value.</p>

<p>At the University of Vermont, the finance chief secured a $50 million outside line of credit from a local bank to ensure he meets payroll and other monthly obligations – a move he made after learning the school cannot withdraw a chunk of the $79 million it held from a short-term cash fund until next year at the earliest."</p>

<p>[Yale</a> Daily News - Cornell faces budget cuts](<a href=“http://www.yaledailynews.com/articles/view/26209]Yale”>http://www.yaledailynews.com/articles/view/26209)</p>

<p>"Cornell University, the economic crisis’s latest victim in higher education, will freeze hiring, pause construction and review its budget, Cornell said Thursday.</p>

<p>Effective today, Cornell is suspending hiring from outside the university, except faculty, through March 31, 2009. All construction projects that are not already in progress will be put on hold for 90 days. And for the next 45 days, Cornell will evaluate its budget to control costs and reduce financial exposure.</p>

<p>“While we cannot be certain about the dimensions, depth and duration of the difficulty, we are confident Cornell is in a good position to adjust operations and budget to address a loss in revenue in the wake of the financial crisis, relying on the institutional expertise and commitment of faculty, staff, alumni, students and friends,” Cornell’s president, David Skorton, said in a statement Friday.</p>

<p>Cornell is reacting to the expectation of budget cuts from New York State, a decline in the school’s $6 billion endowment, and fewer donations, Skorton told Bloomberg News.</p>

<p>The announcement follows distress signals across higher education as endowments shrink, tuition becomes harder to afford and student loans become harder to find.</p>

<p>In October, Boston University said it would freeze non-critical hires in anticipation of rising demand for financial aid. The University of Georgia in Athens also announced a hiring freeze, reduced hours and downsized library subscriptions after the state cut its budget by $30 million.</p>

<p>Colby College in Maine has lost 25 percent of its endowment, which peaked at $630 million. Swarthmore College’s $1.4 billion endowment fell 15 percent to under $1.2 billion, and Rutgers’ $548 million fund declined 20 percent. The endowment of University of Texas at Austin declined almost $1 billion."</p>

<p>[U.S&lt;/a&gt;. colleges punished by financial crisis | U.S. | Reuters](<a href=“http://www.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUSTRE49T02E20081030]U.S”>http://www.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUSTRE49T02E20081030)</p>

<p>" Higher education has been a growth industry in the United States, evidenced by swelling enrollments, expanding campuses and growing endowments. But the global economic crisis has caught colleges and universities in a vice.</p>

<p>With their endowments shrinking along with stock markets, some schools may raise tuition more than usual, even as students complain it is already too expensive and struggle to get loans.</p>

<p>“This will definitely test many schools,” said Ronald Watts, the finance chief of Oberlin College, an elite private school in Ohio whose endowment of nearly $750 million has shrunk by about 15 percent in the past four months.</p>

<p>To be sure, schools have proven resilient in past recessions, helped by rising student enrollment as people seek a leg-up in a bleak job market.</p>

<p>“It’s not going to be as drastic as what corporations are doing,” Watts said. “You don’t just eliminate people and lay off faculty and expect not to destroy your academic program.”</p>

<p>Nevertheless, a few schools have already announced fresh tuition hikes, and school officials said they were keeping a close eye on their finances. And, with schools under financial pressure, local economies all over the country are likely to suffer.</p>

<p>Tuition increases have outpaced inflation for years. Tuition and fees at public universities have risen 175 percent since 1992, while the consumer price index rose 48 percent.</p>

<p>At the University of Wisconsin in Madison, the school’s $1.8 billion endowment has shrunk by 18 percent since the start of the year, Sandy Wilcox of the University of Wisconsin Foundation said. Dipping into the endowment to make a promised contribution to the school’s budget only shrinks it further.</p>

<p>Wisconsin, like many schools with substantial endowments – 400 have endowments over $100 million and 76 above $1 billion – use a three-year averaging system to smooth out how much they pay out from earnings."</p>

<p>This cannot be good news to all of the current and prospective students whose ability to pay has also declined.</p>

<p>lje62, yes. I don’t see this as good news either.</p>

<p>I’m curious how many institutions will remain committed to need-blind admissions. With the overall squeeze on sources of financial aid and more students who will need it, it seems like the temptation to admit students whose parents can pay full freight may be unbearable.</p>

<p>I found this interesting.</p>

<p>"Vassar College will give out $1 million more in financial aid this year than originally budgeted, even though the endowment, which provides a third of its operating budget, dropped to $765 million at the end of September, down $80 million from late June. President Catharine Bond Hill of Vassar said the college would reduce its operating costs, but remain need-blind.</p>

<p>Many institutions with small endowments, however, will probably become more need-sensitive than usual this year, quietly offering places to fewer students who need large aid packages.</p>

<p>At Dickinson College in Pennsylvania, Robert J. Massa, the vice president for enrollment and student life, said that about 200 applicants last year might have been accepted if they had not needed so much financial help, but that that number might rise to 250 this year.</p>

<p>Dickinson’s endowment was $280 million in mid-October, Massa said, down from $350 million in June. And while more than three quarters of the college’s operating budget comes from student fees, some endowment revenue will have to be replaced.</p>

<p>“Here’s the rub,” Massa said. “I really don’t think that colleges can afford to increase their tuition price at higher than inflation this year. I don’t think the public will stand for it. What we’ve done in higher education is let our dreams and aspirations dictate our cost structure.”</p>

<p>Dickinson says you have a better chance to get into the school if you can afford it.</p>

<p>I know not being a need blind school means you have a better chance to get into the school if you can afford it, but to actually read 200 kids didn’t get in because they needed financial aid… I don’t know…just reads weird.</p>

<p>[Colleges</a> strain to rein in budgets | HeraldTribune.com | Southwest Florida’s Information Leader](<a href=“http://www.heraldtribune.com/article/20081108/ARTICLE/811080373/-1/NEWSSITEMAP]Colleges”>http://www.heraldtribune.com/article/20081108/ARTICLE/811080373/-1/NEWSSITEMAP)</p>

<p>Schools like Vassar with sufficiently large endowments can afford to remain committed to the need-blind ideal. But I’m not really surprised by the Dickinson story. There is no such thing as a free lunch, after all. Those funds have to come from somewhere and if the market won’t bear a big enough tuition increase, these schools don’t have much choice.</p>

<p>I guess I am surprised that the guy from Dickinson was so candid.</p>

<p>Most all the endowments are where they were in early 2006. Since most colleges spend a percentage of the endowment to support their operating budgets (generally 4-6%), the drop in endowments simply means that they are now above their endowment spending targets, and will ratchet that down. But, in real terms, the sky didn’t fall. They would simply be back to spending plans they would have had in 2006.</p>

<p>"Most all the endowments are where they were in early 2006 "</p>

<p>What date in 2008 are you comparing to early 2006? </p>

<p>Oct 31, 2008?</p>

<p>Here - you can check them for yourself. At worst, on average they are back to 2005 levels.</p>

<p>[List</a> of U.S. colleges and universities by endowment - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia](<a href=“http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._colleges_and_universities_by_endowment]List”>List of colleges and universities in the United States by endowment - Wikipedia)</p>

<p>(Using the Amherst data in the first post, at 25% off from June 30th, they are WAY above where they were in 2005).</p>

<p>Mini, thanks for the link.</p>

<p>From the Barrons article linked earlier…</p>

<p>“Endowment declines of 25% would hardly be disastrous for Harvard, Yale and Princeton, but such losses would matter mightily at smaller institutions”</p>

<p>"At Dickinson College in Pennsylvania, Robert J. Massa, the vice president for enrollment and student life, said that about 200 applicants last year might have been accepted if they had not needed so much financial help, but that that number might rise to 250 this year.</p>

<p>Dickinson’s endowment was $280 million in mid-October, Massa said, down from $350 million in June. And while more than three quarters of the college’s operating budget comes from student fees, some endowment revenue will have to be replaced.</p>

<p>“Here’s the rub,” Massa said. “I really don’t think that colleges can afford to increase their tuition price at higher than inflation this year. I don’t think the public will stand for it. What we’ve done in higher education is let our dreams and aspirations dictate our cost structure.”</p>

<p>Mini, it looks to me that the student bodies of many of these smaller institutions are going to become less economically diverse than they already are.</p>

<p>That’s a bad result in my opinion.</p>

<p>The bigger issues are likely to be the extent to which the colleges use their endowments as part of their operating budget, and, for the privates, the impacts on alumni and other giving. But, in terms of the raw numbers, things are simply not as dire as they are often portrayed.</p>

<p>Let’s do the numbers on Dickinson. Let’s suppose, for the sake of argument, they were using 6% of their $350 million endowment (high end of the range) for operating budget. That’s $21 million FOR ALL PURPOSES. Now they $280 million, and spend 6%, which is $16.8 million. It is a $4.2 million dollar difference - it’s real money, but it isn’t massive money. If they increase endowment spending to 6.5%, they raise an additional $1.4 million, so now they are down to a $2.8 million shortfall, for all purposes, not just financial aid. </p>

<p>The Dickinson College endowment on December 31, 2005, was $266.3 million. They are above that now.</p>

<p>The issue, really, is not the endowment fall per se, but whether we end up in a “Japanese” scenario where things don’t increase again for 19 years. That’s one which faces us all.</p>

<p>“Mini, it looks to me that the student bodies of many of these smaller institutions are going to become less economically diverse than they already are.”</p>

<p>We could have the same effect but for a different reason in public universities.</p>

<p>One of my son’s professors remarked after midterm results were out, that this was the strongest class that they’ve had in many, many years. This was a very large science class in a lecture hall. I think that the number of students went up by mid-teens percentages this year (they really had to shoehorn them into the dorms).</p>

<p>“I really don’t think that colleges can afford to increase their tuition price at higher than inflation this year.”</p>

<p>Or maybe at all. I would argue that colleges should lower their prices as we’ve had a massive amount of deflation; not inflation. Colleges can now buy gasoline at half the price compared to this past spring. There should be far more in the labor pool willing to work for lower wages given the number of people unemployed. Will it happen? I think that we’d need a year of declining college enrollments to see price declines.</p>

<p>On another note, a few people that I read or listened to this weekend are making the argument for inflation and rising commodity prices. The trillions being tossed out will have an effect at some point. Maybe one year or two years out but they will have an effect and it will be highly inflationary. Pupluva remarked that oil supplies are actually down, even as prices go lower. Same deal with gold - it’s very hard to buy the real thing but the paper price of gold continues to be depressed. You’ll pay much higher than spot if you want to get it at a dealer or off Ebay.</p>

<p>It’s hard to think in those terms because we have deflation and deleveraging all over the place. Gross and Buffett say inflation and get out of treasuries. I guess they’re winners (even though BRK/A’s earnings declined by 77% this Q) because they take risks when everyone else is running in the other direction. At the moment, I’m not a bull or a bear. Just a chicken.</p>

<p>[The issue, really, is not the endowment fall per se, but whether we end up in a “Japanese” scenario where things don’t increase again for 19 years. That’s one which faces us all.]</p>

<p>It’s the deflation-inflation argument again.</p>

<p>Can central banks print fast enough to counteract deflation and can they get the money out to the populace in a way that resembles “fair”? And can they do it without commodities heading for the moon?</p>

<p>I read an article about winter and the article says that winter happens and that the central banks should let it happen. Winter happens so that spring can come. (He’s referring to Kondreytieff Winter for those unfamiliar with the reference). Well, winter may come but historically, it has been very, very painful.</p>

<p>Japan did print like mad but they had the other goal of suppressing their currency so that they could export and maintain employment. The Japan situation reminds me of when I was growing up. Things seemed very, very stable. Not a lot of growth. People were always worried about their jobs and the economy. One can certainly get used to that.</p>

<p>I think there are times where it is best to be a chicken and these are one of these times.</p>

<p>Neither Buffett or Gross are winners this year either.</p>

<p>BCEagle91, I agree with you. Deleveraging is very deflationary. The amount of money the US and other world governments are throwing into the system is very inflationary so we are in very contradictory times.</p>

<p>I have no idea how it is going to play out. </p>

<p>I see the deflation. I see the stimulus…</p>

<p>I’d love to see colleges lower tuition but that’s just a dream. And in a few years, I won’t be affected. :)</p>

<p>"Let’s do the numbers on Dickinson. Let’s suppose, for the sake of argument, they were using 6% of their $350 million endowment (high end of the range) for operating budget. That’s $21 million FOR ALL PURPOSES. Now they $280 million, and spend 6%, which is $16.8 million. It is a $4.2 million dollar difference - it’s real money, but it isn’t massive money. If they increase endowment spending to 6.5%, they raise an additional $1.4 million, so now they are down to a $2.8 million shortfall, for all purposes, not just financial aid. </p>

<p>The Dickinson College endowment on December 31, 2005, was $266.3 million. They are above that now."</p>

<p>I understand that analysis, and it may be totally correct, but something tells me that it is better to have a $350 million endowment than a $280 million endowment even if we are only talking about a difference in spending of $4+ million a year. </p>

<p>Especially if this happens…</p>

<p>“The issue, really, is not the endowment fall per se, but whether we end up in a “Japanese” scenario where things don’t increase again for 19 years. That’s one which faces us all.”</p>

<p>Another way they will be feeling the pinch: This year’s freshman class is the peak of the Baby Boomlet; the apps will start to go down in overall numbers just based on population trends, not to mention a lot of kids will need to delay college or attend community college for a while before transferring.</p>