Coronavirus in the US

As someone above as mentioned, a vaccine and science is the only way to battle this. Public policy will not stop the spread.

IRAN - 1,076 new cases totaling 5,823, 21 new deaths totaling 145.

ā€œMore than 16,000 people are currently hospitalisedā€¦ā€ health ministry spokesman Kianoush Jahanpour said… He added that 1,669 of confirmed cases have recovered…

A lawmaker was among those reported dead…Fatemeh Rahbar, 55, was a conservative MP and had recently been elected to the parliament from the capital Tehran…the second lawmaker killed by the virus in Iran and one of seven politicians and government officials who have died…

Iran’s capital Tehran remains the worst-hit province in the country, with 1,539 confirmed cases, though the situation is worsening in northern provinces.

More than 300 of the new cases were reported in Mazandaran province, a top tourist destination north of Tehran on the Caspian Sea. ā€œMazandaran is at the top of the list because the necessary limitations (on domestic travelling) were not imposed,ā€ Jahanpour said. ā€œConsidering that a minority are not taking the situation seriously and risk their own and others’ health, imposing limitations is now on the agenda.ā€

Iran has closed schools and universities until early April… but upcoming holidays have prompted people to travel, especially to popular destinations in northern provinces… Several provinces…have said they will not provide any lodging to tourists in an effort to dissuade people from travelling." (SCMP)

^^Vaccine is at least a year away. There’s no cure either. We all hope for a miracle, but we’re more likely to be disappointed. The best science to combat the disease for now is containment. Slowing down and limiting the spread of the disease will save many lives.

Now that I can no longer keep up with this thread, I know the coronavirus is getting really spreading in the US, sadly

It’s about containing the spread right now and slowing, mitigating.

I’m reposting a previous post of mine. Buying time for a vaccine, treatments, better weather hopefully having an impact, not overcrowding our health care facilities and workers, etc. etc.

There are very important and legitimate reasons to make concentrated and intelligent choices and plans to contain and mitigate.

Agreed about banning large public events for now. A slow roll of cases is much better than a huge spike. We just don’t have the medical infrastructure to handle 20% critical/serious cases all at once, never mind the mortality rate.

If a vaccine and science was all that was needed, measles, whooping cough, and chicken pox would be eradicated. The flu would also kill substantially fewer people each year.

Besides even if we pretend that’s all we needed, a vaccine is still 18 mos+ away.

Didn’t see this in the earlier mention of Stanford:

"Stanford University faculty member tests positive; in-person classes canceled
Officials at Stanford University have announced that a member of faculty has tested positive for COVID-19.

The school has contacted those who might have come into contact with the person and asked them to self-isolate. The staff member worked in a clinic, which has been closed for cleaning.

The faculty member had not been to work since showing symptoms, Stanford University said. " (CNBC)

US sailor tests positive for coronavirus in Europe

"A US Navy sailor stationed in Naples, Italy, has tested positive for the coronavirus, marking the first positive case for a US service member stationed in Europe, according to a statement from US European Command and U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa.

The service member, stationed at a naval support facility in Naples, tested positive Friday and is currently restricted to their residence…Authorities said health professionals from the US military are conducting what they call ā€œa thorough contact investigationā€ to determine if any other personnel may have been exposed…personnel that the service member came in close contact with have already been notified are in self-isolation at their residences. " (CNN)

As long as people are interacting with each other whether at an airport, concert, park, supermarket, or restaurant, how in the hell can this be slow down? SHort of closing our borders for months and everyone staying home for a period of time ( and every country doing the same}, this thing is getting out of control fairly fast.

Health Exclusive: The Strongest Evidence Yet That America Is Botching Coronavirus Testing

ā€œThe Atlantic could only verify that 1,895 people have been tested for the coronavirus in the United Statesā€

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/how-many-americans-have-been-tested-coronavirus/607597/

Uber says it will compensate drivers and delivery people under quarantine

In a statement to NBC News, Uber said ā€œdrivers and delivery people who are diagnosed with COVID-19 or placed in quarantine by a public health authorityā€ will be compensated for up to 14 days.

ā€œThis has already begun in some markets and we are working to implement mechanisms to do this worldwide. We believe this is the right thing to do,ā€ Andrew Macdonald, senior vice president of rides and platform at Uber, said in a statement. (CNBC)

Yet, much smaller countries can test that many and more in a single day. Shameful.

Slowing down the spread of the virus doesn’t mean stopping the spread. It’s just simple math that large public gatherings will dramatically increase the risk of the virus spreading and overwhelming our healthcare infrastructure, ultimately leading to more deaths. The experience in China gives us some hope that the virus can be contained if we act quickly.

If the vaccine was available, I wonder how many people would actually take it ? My guess is only 50% of the population would.

Completely agree that it’s the easiest and definitely not the best. Completely agree that it does little good to quarantine on a ship where staff doesn’t know infection control rules. No question that disease COULD have spread during the Diamond Princess quarantine. But do need to point out that given that 1) About half who tested positive are asymptomatic and 2) can take up to 14 days to manifest symptoms and 3) the quarantine was less than 14 days …no one knows at all the extent it spread before vs after quarantine.

I have seen statements in articles that all the cases that tested positive after quarantine indicate all those cases spread after. That’s just not the case.

Asymptomatic people can still infect others. More than a handful of folks coming off the Diamond Princess who tested negative wound up testing positive once on shore. The majority of passengers were quarantined for 14 days once off the ship - as they should have been and as the Grand Princess passengers and crew should be. Hence, take them off ASAP and quarantine them on shore to a) err on the safe side and b) limit further spread.

Stanford also has two students in self isolation pending test results (sometime today).

Admitted students weekend cancelled.

You missed my point about asymptomatic people. It is that the day they went into quarantine they might already have been exposed to the virus. Since they never had symptoms we have no idea when they were infected. Totally agree best to get everyone off the ship ASAP.

But articles that have said that the virus spread like wildfire during the quarantine are really off base. No one knows the extent of spread during quarantine. That is my point. We don’t know.

This is especially true because the test is likely not 100 percent accurate. it is very possible to get a negative then a positive then a negative in the course of a few days. ( See passenger David Abel who is currently experiencing this while in isolation in Japan).

And we know for sure that people were exposed during the poorly planned evacuation

Bottom line : We have very little knowledge about what occurred during Diamond Princess quarantine. It’s certainly not an ideal though.

3 new cases of novel coronavirus announced in Georgia
From CNN’s
The Georgia Department of Public Health (DPH) reported three additional cases of novel coronavirus in Georgia this morning.

One of the new cases is an individual from Cobb County, who recently returned from Italy, and is isolated at home, according to the Georgia Department of Public Health.

The other individual is from Fulton County and is hospitalized, DPH said. According to DPH, the source of that person’s exposure is unclear at this time.

Additionally, DPH is waiting for confirmation on a presumptive positive test for a Gwinnett County resident who recently returned from Italy and was self-monitoring at home. This person is now isolated at home, a release from DPH said.

3 new FL cases

Tweet:

Florida Dept. Health
@HealthyFla
.
@HealthyFla
has announced 3 new presumptive positive Florida #COVID19 cases: 2 in Broward County that are isolated and 1 in Lee County that is deceased. A previously-announced case in Santa Rosa County is also deceased. For #COVID19 updates, visit http://FloridaHealth.gov/COVID-19

Stanford:

  • No more in-person classes or final for the quarter. Going "virtual"
  • One Stanford Medical School facility member tested positive for covid-19
  • Two students in self quarantine pending test results sometime today.
  • Admit weekend for accepted students cancelled
  • All campus tours stopped