Coronavirus in the US

The number of people with flu-like-symptoms on a Covid-19 stricken cruise ship off the coast of Panama has risen by almost a third in two days, from 138 to 179.

Holland America Line, who runs the Zaandam cruise liner, confirmed that nobody else had died on board after four elderly passengers passed away earlier this week. The cause of death has so far not been stated.

On the Zaandam 69 guests and 110 crew are ill with flu like symptoms. On Friday, 53 guests and 85 crew were sick on the cruise liner, where two people have so far tested positive for covid-19.

The Zaandam and its sister ship the Rotterdam are preparing to pass through the Panama canal after the Central American country reversed a decision to stop the vessels from crossing. Hundreds of asymptomatic passengers were moved to the Rotterdam over the weekend. None have presented with flu-like symptoms so far.

On Sunday evening, it was still unclear whether the two boats would be allowed to dock in Fort Lauderdale after local authorities raised concerns about the health risks the crew and passengers pose to the local population.

Fort Lauderdale Mayor Dean Trantalis has called for President Trump to intervene in the situation and has suggested the vessels should be redirected to nearby Navy bases.

Coronavirus forecast to cut UK economic output by 15%
Rob Davies Rob Davies

The coronavirus pandemic could cause UK economic output to plunge by an unprecedented 15% in the second quarter of the year and unemploymentto more than double, according to dire forecasts.

The deepest recession since the financial crisis is now all but unavoidable, according to analysts at the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR), after businesses shut up shop and consumer spending fell dramatically as a result of lockdown restrictions.

The centre said it expected the economy to have shrunk marginally in the first three months of the year by 0.5%, followed by the steepest economic contraction since comparable records began more than 20 years ago.

The predicted slump would dwarf the 2.2% contraction in the fourth quarter of 2008 as the banking crash took hold, marking by far the worst three-month period since at least 1997.

Guardian

Not taking a side here, but for reference, Freedom House ratings of some places in Asia from https://freedomhouse.org/explore-the-map?type=fiw&year=2020 (for comparison, the US has a rating of 86):

“Free”

96 Japan
93 Taiwan
84 Mongolia
83 South Korea
71 India
71 Timor Leste

“Partly Free”

61 Indonesia
59 Bhutan
59 Philippines
56 Nepal
56 Sri Lanka
55 Hong Kong (China)
52 Malaysia
50 Singapore
39 Bangladesh
39 Kyrgyzstan
38 Pakistan
32 Thailand

“Not Free”

30 Myanmar
28 Brunei
28 Kashmir (India)
28 Kashmir (Pakistan)
27 Afghanistan
25 Cambodia
23 Kazakhstan
20 Russia
20 Vietnam
17 Iran
14 Laos
10 China
10 Uzbekstan
09 Tajikstan
03 North Korea
02 Turkmenistan
01 Tibet (China)

In Australia, here is a roundup of the new nationwide new restrictions:

These come into effect at midnight on Monday.

Indoor and Outdoor Public gatherings

National Cabinet agreed to limit both indoor and outdoor gatherings to two persons only.

Exceptions to this limit include:

People of the same household going out together;
Funerals – a maximum of 10 people;
Wedding – a maximum of 5 people;
Family units.
Individual states and territories may choose to mandate and/or enforce this requirement.

National Cabinet’s strong guidance to all Australians is to stay home unless for:

shopping for what you need – food and necessary supplies;
medical or health care needs, including compassionate requirements;
exercise in compliance with the public gathering requirements;
work and study if you can’t work or learn remotely.
National Cabinet agreed that playgrounds, skate parks and outside gyms in public places will be closed. Bootcamps will be reduced to two persons, including the trainer.

(Guardian)

Japan extends entry ban

Japan will expand its entry ban to include citizens travelling from the United States, China, South Korea and most of Europe amid a rapid spread of the coronavirus pandemic, the Asahi newspaper reported on Monday.

The government may also ban entry from and travel to some countries in Southeast Asia and Africa, the Asahi said, citing a few government sources. (Guardian)

Cigna and Humana waive coronavirus treatment costs

Health insurers Cigna and Humana are now waiving patient cost-sharing on all treatment for coronavirus, including hospitalizations and ambulance transfers, for their insured members and employer plans.

“Our customers with COVID-19 should focus on fighting this virus and preventing its spread,” said David Cordani, Cigna president and CEO in a statement, adding “while our customers focus on regaining their health, we have their backs.”

The insurers said the waiver applies to all medical costs related to the treatment of coronavirus, including FDA-approved medications and vaccines when they become available. They will apply to their privately insured individual and groups plans, Medicare Advantage and Medicaid members. (CNBC)

I was thinking maybe you didn’t get the dose, or didn’t get the full dose, and caught the flu but it wasn’t as bad. One year there were what seemed to me random city worker volunteers giving the vaccine at our school. Some construction worker or librarian (kidding, but someone who didn’t know what they were doing) “gave” me my flu vaccine and I felt it running down my arm. In subsequent years, I’ve gone to pharmacies or doctors instead of the school clinic.

Regarding the Holland America ship (Zaandam?) with four dead passengers aboard: do they have a morgue on every cruise ship? Otherwise where are the bodies?

Just watched the movie “Contagion” tonight - scary accurate in lots of ways. Also, just yuck as to how it got into humans.

And finally - since I found the numbers a bit suspect on the other state graphs posted, I found this better one for Massachusetts:
http://boston.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/a2f67ae8147948919ea2f99dd09d0955

…it seems to be updated and to match with the worldometer data so maybe it’s more reliable.

WASHINGTON—Producers and distributors of medical supplies across the country are raising red flags about what they say is a lack of guidance from the federal government about where to send their products, as hospitals compete for desperately needed masks and ventilators to combat the spread of the novel coronavirus.

The issue is taking on greater urgency as supplies run short in hard-hit regions. New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio, for example, said the city could run out of supplies after a week, saying in a CNN interview the city would “need a re-enforcement” after that to address a crisis that is certain to last much longer.

Company executives say they are ill-equipped to make decisions about which hospitals and states should first receive their medical supplies and are calling on the government to step in.

“It’s really the allocation piece that’s most important to us right now because we just cannot and never will have a window into what the most urgent need is,” said Scott Whitaker, chief executive of the Advanced Medical Technology Association, a trade association that represents producers of medical devices.

Charlie Mills, chief executive of Medline Industries Inc., a large privately held manufacturer and distributor of medical supplies, said as the company works to ramp up its production of supplies, it is being inundated with orders. He said he would welcome the government having a “strong say” in how to respond.

“All of our customers are wanting more,” Mr. Mills said. “The federal government might be in a better position to decide where it would go.”

So far, the Trump administration hasn’t provided the companies with formal guidance about where to distribute their products, leaving them to make such decisions on their own. Hundreds of companies last week sent a breakdown of their inventories of masks, ventilators and other medical supplies to the Federal Emergency Management Agency, according to a document reviewed by The Wall Street Journal, and have been waiting for the agency to advise them on which areas are most urgently in need of supplies.

The White House referred a request for comment to FEMA. A spokeswoman for FEMA declined to give a timeline for when the agency would provide allocation guidance to companies. “We have been able to make connections with multiple companies, but due to the large volume of response, the task force is still reading through the offers,” she said.

Hospitals across the U.S. are running out of the masks, gowns, ventilators and other equipment they need to treat patients diagnosed with coronavirus and protect staff, say hospital officials, doctors and others in the industry. New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo has said that the state needs at least 30,000 ventilators. The Trump administration has prepared a protocol for how to split ventilators among multiple Covid-19 patients, according to two doctors working on it.

The administration has faced criticism in recent weeks from governors and health-care workers for its reluctance to make full use of the Defense Production Act, a Korean War-era law that allows the president both to order companies to prioritize the production of certain goods and to control where those goods are distributed.

Governors have called on Mr. Trump to invoke the law to ensure not just production, but also the efficient distribution of scarce supplies to areas most in need, and to keep states from competing against each other for lifesaving equipment.

Producers and distributors of those supplies say that in the absence of guidance from the federal government, they have continued to send their regular shipments of medical supplies, without knowing whether those supplies are more urgently needed elsewhere.

The administration has broad authority to direct the allocation of such supplies. It could invoke the Defense Production Act to do so—but some companies say the law isn’t needed. They are prepared to follow the government’s guidelines without the law’s mandates, but so far such guidance has been scarce."

And, needless to say, THIS crisis should have been foreseen [ which it was ] to be a sufficient reason for Presidents NOT to take hatchets to the # of professionals working at critically important government agencies that are there to help in times of crisises.
Trump did NO one any favors when he unnecessarily reduced the size of the federal Government. And now THOUSANDS are and will pay the price for his short sighted actions.
shameful

https://www.wsj.com/articles/manufacturers-seek-u-s-help-in-deciding-where-to-ship-scarce-medical-goods-11585474201?mod=hp_lead_pos2

Yes they do have morgues but not in the traditional sense. I hate to say with this but in this situation they are probably using the huge commercial freezers. It’s a guess but that’s my thought. Pretty grim.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/midwest-coronavirus-cases-grow_n_5e8012f9c5b661492268e3f0

The coronavirus continued its unrelenting spread across the United States with fatalities doubling in two days and authorities saying Saturday that an infant who tested positive had died. It pummeled big cities like New York, Detroit, New Orleans and Chicago, and made its way, too, into rural America as hotspots erupted in small Midwestern towns and Rocky Mountain ski havens.
…
Louisiana has surpassed 3,300 infections with 137 dead from COVID-19, according to the health department. Gov. John Bel Edwards said the region was on track to run out of ventilators by the first week of April.

Cases also have been rising rapidly in Detroit, where poverty and poor health have been problems for years. The number of infections surged to 1,381, with 31 deaths, as of noon Saturday. The city’s homeless population is especially vulnerable, officials said.

“At this time, the trajectory of Detroit is unfortunately even more steep than that of New York,” said Dr. Teena Chopra, the medical director of infection prevention and hospital epidemiology at the Detroit Medical Center.

“This is off the charts,” she said.
…
The governor of Kansas also issued a stay-at-home order to begin Monday, as the virus takes hold in more rural areas where doctors worry about the lack of ICU beds.

A cluster of three counties in rural Indiana have surging rates of confirmed cases. One of them, Decatur, population 26,000, has 30 cases with one confirmed death and another suspected, said Sean Durbin, the county’s public health emergency preparedness coordinator. Several cases were traced to large gatherings earlier in the month, including a religious retreat and a high school basketball tournament.

The county health department has already run out of personal protective equipment, Durbin said. The last supply from the federal stockpile arrived more than a week ago and contained just 77 N95 masks and two dozen face shields.

“I wish there was a stronger word for disappointed,” he said. “I’m calling on them to do better.”

Blaine County, Idaho, a scenic ski haven for wealthy tourists, now has around 100 confirmed cases of COVID-19, the highest rate per capita outside the New York area. Two people have died.

Good for Mongolia!

Trump accuses hospitals of hoarding ventilators

President Donald Trump accused hospitals on Sunday of hoarding ventilators that are in scarce supply across the United States as the coronavirus spreads, adding any hospitals not using the devices must release them.

Trump, whose critics have accused him of trying to deflect blame over his handling of the crisis, did not cite any evidence to back his accusation that hospitals were hoarding the devices. It was also unclear which medical facilities he was referring to.

“We have some healthcare workers, some hospitals … hoarding equipment including ventilators,” Trump said at the White House following a meeting with corporate executives, including from U.S. Medical Group. —Reuters

Private-jet companies could get billions in aid from coronavirus bailout

Private-jet companies could receive billions of dollars in loans, aid and tax relief from the federal government as part of the coronavirus aid package.

As part of the $2 trillion stimulus bill, private-jet charter companies and jet-card companies will several types of help from the federal government. First, private-jet companies will no longer have to pay a 7.5% tax to customers. The tax, known as Federal Excise Tax, is charged to customers of private-jet charters and jet-card users. The tax won’t be charged for the rest of the year. Jet companies also won’t have to pay any fuel taxes.

Private-jet companies will also be eligible to receive funding from the $25 billion in loans and loan guarantees available to the aviation industry. In addition, they are included in the $25 billion in grant payments for the continuation of wage payments to workers. (CNBC)

https://www.crainsdetroit.com/obituaries/state-rep-isaac-robinson-dies-suspected-coronavirus-infection

A Michigan state legislator has died; it is believed COVID-19 caused his death. Age 44, resident of Detroit, a Democrat.

Oh goodness. I knew both him and his mom. (Not well just interacted a few times). They’ve worked on labor issues for a long time.

May he rest well.

on hubris and heuristics…(a fascinating interview)

https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/the-contrarian-coronavirus-theory-that-informed-the-trump-administration

Either it was a small reaction to the vaccine itself (but that’s not the same as having the actual flu, you can’t get the flu from the vaccine) or it was some virus that you happened to coincidentally get the same or next day that you got the flu shot and were exposed to some days before you got the flu shot. It is scientifically impossible to get the actual flu from the injection since they used a ‘killed’ form of the virus.

@Qtinfo – thanks for sharing that Epstein article. Wow.

Re that New Yorker interview: @Qtinfo, if Isaac Chotiner of the New Yorker ever called me for an interview, I’d change my name and move to a different country. He’s an assassin. He asks innocent questions and makes awful people expose their awfulness.

Thank you, @Qtinfo, for sharing the article.

“And you’re not an epidemiologist, correct?”

“No, I’m trained in all of these things. I’ve done a lot of work in these particular areas. And one of the things that is most annoying about this debate is you see all sorts of people putting up expertise on these subjects, but they won’t let anybody question their particular judgment. One of the things you get as a lawyer is a skill of cross-examination. I spent an enormous amount of time over my career teaching medical people about some of this stuff, and their great strengths are procedures and diagnoses in the cases. Their great weakness is understanding general-equilibrium theory.”

I’m not a scientist, so I can’t evaluate all Epstein’s arguments. But this question and answer are easy to interpret: I"I think I’m smarter than everyone, even though I’m a lawyer, not a medical researcher or physician."

Law School Deans just love to tout that one can do anything with a law degree.

(I guess Infectious Disease Epidemiologist is not one of them!)

US Justice Department probes stock transactions by lawmakers after coronavirus briefings
From CNN’s David Shortell, Evan Perez, Jeremy Herb and Kara Scannell

(CNN)The Justice Department has started to probe a series of stock transactions made by lawmakers ahead of the sharp market downturn stemming from the spread of coronavirus, according to two people familiar with the matter.

The inquiry, which is still in its early stages and being done in coordination with the Securities and Exchange Commission, has so far included outreach from the FBI to at least one lawmaker, Sen. Richard Burr, seeking information about the trades, according to one of the sources.

Public scrutiny of the lawmakers’ market activity has centered on whether members of Congress sought to profit from the information they obtained in non-public briefings about the virus epidemic.

Burr, the North Carolina Republican who heads the Senate Intelligence Committee, has previously said that he relied only on public news reports as he decided to sell between $628,000 and $1.7 million in stocks on February 13. Earlier this month, he asked the Senate Ethics Committee to review the trades given “the assumption many could make in hindsight,” he said at the time.

There’s no indication that any of the sales, including Burr’s, broke any laws or ran afoul of Senate rules. But the sales have come under fire after senators received closed-door briefings about the virus over the past several weeks — before the market began trending downward. It is routine for the FBI and SEC to review stock trades when there is public question about their propriety.

In a statement Sunday to CNN, Alice Fisher, a lawyer for Burr, said that the senator “welcomes a thorough review of the facts in this matter, which will establish that his actions were appropriate.”

“The law is clear that any American – including a Senator – may participate in the stock market based on public information, as Senator Burr did. When this issue arose, Senator Burr immediately asked the Senate Ethics Committee to conduct a complete review, and he will cooperate with that review as well as any other appropriate inquiry,” said Fisher, who led the Justice Department’s criminal division under former President George W. Bush.

Congress passed the Stock Act in 2012, which made it illegal for lawmakers to use inside information for financial benefit.

Under insider trading laws, prosecutors would need to prove the lawmakers traded based on material non-public information they received in violation of a duty to keep it confidential.

Burr’s committee has received periodic briefings on coronavirus as the outbreak has spread, but the committee did not receive briefings on the virus the week of Burr’s stock sales, another source familiar with the matter told CNN earlier this month.
Spokespeople for the Justice Department, the FBI and the SEC declined to comment.
Burr’s sales represent a sizable share of his portfolio of stocks, according to his latest Senate financial disclosure documents filed in May 2019, although exact numbers aren’t possible because lawmakers only report trades as a range of dollar values.
Several other senators from both parties also sold and bought stock ahead of the market downturn that resulted from the coronavirus pandemic, although it’s not clear who else the Justice Department is looking at and no other senator said they have been contacted by law enforcement. Burr is the only lawmaker to have asked for an Ethics Committee review.

GOP Sen. Kelly Loeffler of Georgia and her husband sold 27 stocks valued between $1.275 million and $3.1 million from January 24 through February 14, according to Senate records.

They also purchased three stocks at a value of $450,000-$1 million, including shares in Citrix, a software company that’s gained approximately 15% in value since Loeffler and her husband bought the stock last month.

Loeffler, who was appointed to her seat in December and was sworn in in early January, has denied having any knowledge of the stock sales, saying she uses a third-party financial adviser and did not learn of the trades until later. Loeffler’s husband, Jeffrey Sprecher, is chairman of the New York Stock Exchange.

A Loeffler spokesperson confirmed Loeffler has not been contacted by the FBI and said the senator “has acted in accordance with the letter and the spirit of the law.”
Others who traded relatively smaller amounts or sold fewer stocks than Burr and Loeffler have also faced public scrutiny.

Stock sales were reported last month by Sens. Dianne Feinstein, a California Democrat, and Jim Inhofe, an Oklahoma Republican. Both Feinstein’s and Inhofe’s offices said the senators had not been contacted by the FBI.

Feinstein herself did not sell any stock, according to Senate records. Her husband sold between $1.5 million and $6 million in stock of Allogene Therapeutics, a biotech company, in January and February. Feinstein said on Twitter earlier this month that she has no involvement in her husband’s financial decisions.

“I have no input into his decisions. My husband in January and February sold shares of a cancer therapy company. This company is unrelated to any work on the coronavirus and the sale was unrelated to the situation,” she tweeted.

Inhofe sold five stocks, worth between $180,000 and $400,000, in January, and another for $50,000-$100,000 in February. But he said in a statement earlier this month that he had no involvement in his investment decisions.

Video as well in article:
https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/29/politics/justice-stock-trades-lawmakers-coronavirus/index.html

^He definitely doesn’t understand basic biology (genetics and evolution).

Maybe he is like an intelligent scientist who fancies himself as a self-taught legal expert, and spouts off nonsense about law.