With some recrafting and smart targeting you can have a very successful application season but right now you have a pretty risky list in my opinion. I understand your not liking many of the schools that fit your stats and agree it can be a challenge but they are out there, you just have to look a little harder and deeper, get a little creative and be open to looking at a wide variety of schools and casting a wide net. Your GPA and lower grades in the more rigorous classes hurt you, as does the downward trend (which coincided with the harder classes, at least on paper). Test scores will help but GPA is equally important, if not more so. Overall rigor is important as well. Will they see you as a smart slacker? Maybe. Or just a student who is really great at standardized tests. Either way, being prepared for that is part of the process though. I agree, writing about the D is cliché. You’ve done so many more interesting things!
In my opinion, you may be better off with an EA strategy versus ED, unless you will have a 1st quarter report card that shows a strong senior year trend to include with an ED app to help offset that D (and the B- in PreCalc). Repeating Physics it though, doing well, and including that transcript will definitely help and is a smart move on your part! What does your senior year course load look like, is it at risk for similar issues anywhere?
Your EC’s are very nice. Does your school provide rank? If not that will help as that may hurt you otherwise.
Liberal arts schools will not offer enviro engineering outside of a 3-2 program and I would not advise those. And, given the pre-calc and physics grades I am not sure engineering would be the best choice for long term success. Engineering is a lot of hard math and science, kids who aced those classes in HS struggle with it in college. I would focus on LAC’s that offer the ENVS stuff you want, have music and have Spanish. My S17 is looking for some similar items program wise and music wise (higher GPA and rigor but lower test scores so semi similar) and most of the schools you list have not popped up as especially strong in environmental studies in our research, with so many on the reach side (too many) I’d really try to narrow it down by program fit as well as ones that have the best reachy odds.
I personally think your GC is very optimistic (and giving you some false hope) with her rankings, yes the D killed your gpa but that one grade would not have magically turned all the reaches into matches. Even if stats match, you have a number of lower admission rate schools with which your stats, is not ideal at all. What I mean by that is, even though you may meet the “average” stats, or are in the 25th% or up….if the acceptance rate is only 15-50% your odds are still not in your favor and I wouldn’t count them as safeties. Or even matches/targets in some cases. To be a true safety you need to be in the 75th percentile and/or have schools that have acceptance rates in the 70’s. For higher stats kids, acceptances in the 60’s may due but I wouldn’t count on it personally.
Do you have Naviance at your school? If so look at the acceptance rates and stats for your list and see how you compare. Bard and Hampshire are on the alternative side of things and quite different than some of the others on this list so I’d make sure that is a fit for you. Both were on early lists for us and have fallen off for that reason. What on your list have you already visited? You also mention cost in regards to both BU and Drexel (as being too high), have you run cost models on all of these to see if they are viable financially? Dream schools aren’t very dreamy if you can’t afford them.
I agree with these as potential fits/additions to targets/matches. Muhlenberg, Ithaca, Syracuse, Clark, Clarkson, Temple, College of the Atlantic (not sure it’s a safety though) and I’d add in Ursinus. Syracuse offers the ability to take classes at SUNY-ESF which, from a major standpoint, could be nice. I believe all have decent ENVS and music. Bennington might be a match but again, possibly too alternative and I’m not sure of their music options. Have you looked at UVM? Strong Enviro program, University of Maine as well. Bear in mind a college rep (party, etc) is largely what you make of it and what you choose to be involved in.
Personally, I don’t see a true safety on your list, I see Drexel and Hampshire as both matches stats wise and not the best fit based on programs and environment. You need to find 2-3 safeties that you can be happy at. I don’t know enough about east coast options to offer more than that but agree that at least one with rolling admissions would be nice to have in the mix. U of Maine might be an option on the safety side of things.