Have any colleges published the number of applications that are WITHDRAWN from their applicant pool? After a student is accepted ED, they withdraw their applications from other schools. That number must add up to something. For example, Are there a few hundred students that withdraw their application from UVA after ED acceptance at a Duke/Vandy/U Chicago/anywhere else? Or is it a few dozen?
If there is no published data, anyone want to speculate what that number would be at any school?
Schools with later non-rolling application deadlines may see few withdrawn-because-of-ED-admission applications, because those admitted ED elsewhere may never press the submit-application button that they were ready to press if their ED did not result in admission.
Where the ED admit also applied EA or early rolling elsewhere, the applicant may get those decisions around the same time or earlier than the ED decision.
Where there may be more withdrawn applications could be schools with RD deadlines that are earlier than typical ED notifications.
Ok, I’ll go first with speculation! I used UVA as an example becuase the EA deadline is November 1 (same as many ED deadlines) and its notification date is Feb 15. I bet there are a ton of kids in Virginia who get into a school ED and then must withdraw their UVA application.
Let me “back of the envelope” guess that 20 kids from each of the 600 highs schools in VA applied ED to somewhere other then UVA and they submitted EA to UVA (12,000 kids). Lets say a quarter of these kids were accepted at their EA school, then 3000 kids should withdraw their EA application from UVA. Lets say only half do so. That’s still 1,500 fewer applications for the admissions office to review and 1,500 fewer kids for the other applicants to compete with.