The Brown coach will let admissions know that he wants your kid but he’s out of chits. Your kid has a strong application, so it’s not as if he has a snowball’s chance without support, and the coach may be a finger on the scale. That, we can’t know. If successful, first choice school with D1 program.
The Yale coach has offered support, but it’s unclear how much pull he has. It’s a strong club program but not at the level of a D1 program. Not the first choice school.
There’s risk either way. You’ll kick yourself if Brown isn’t a yes, but realistically, this is an athlete/scholar with lots of appeal so while you may be trying to figure out how to get the brain squirrels back in their cage, my guess is it’ll all have a good ending. Hopefully by Christmas, but if not, by next spring.