<p>eric, I am sorry about your son’s disappointment, but I do not believe that Ivy League or other elite schools are “lying” when they say they are need blind as to individual applicants. They do structure their application process in a way that is weighted in favor of wealth- such as demanding super-high SAT scores and running ED or SCEA programs that are not feasible options for those needing financial aid. But the Ivies are extremely well funded schools that can easily afford to shoulder a few extra dollars in financial aid to students they accept. You son’s rejections from Ivies had nothing to do with need.</p>
<p>Here’s the problem: it is NOT a “crap shoot”. If a student does not have the credentials to make Ivy admission highly likely, then his chances don’t get any better by throwing the dice a few more times and applying to 5 Ivies instead of 1 or 2. Your son received a 7 rejections on one day because you or he or his school counselor misunderstood or miscalculated the idea of a “match” school. The fact that some of his so-called “match” schools rejected him is a pretty good indication that the Ivies were never truly in “reach”. Your son may have fared better if he had applied to only 1 Ivy (we all can dream… might as well buy 1 lottery ticket) – and then applied to more “match” schools because a “match” school is a school where there is a reasonable chance but no guarantee of admission.</p>
<p>In other words, a school where the student has a 30-70% chance of admission would be a “match” - but given the probabilities you would need to apply to an appropriate number of schools to be sure of acceptance. A true match is more likely to waitlist a student than outright reject a student – so too many rejections from “match” schools might indicated that the applicant has misjudged his standing in the applicant pool.</p>
<p>The Ivies are reaches for almost everyone, but that doesn’t mean that everyone has an equivalent, lotto-type chance of getting in. Only a small percentage – probably 25% or less - of the total applicant pool is even in the running. The stats don’t tell the whole story.</p>
<p>I realize that it is sometimes difficult to figure out where a student stands because of complicating factors related to the students accomplishments and academic record. What would the chances be for an Intel Finalist with a relatively weak SAT writing score? We don’t know – that student has a combination of a great strength and moderate weakness that makes predicting chances a little harder. </p>
<p>But the point is, if a student doesn’t have what Ivies are looking for, then they can apply to 1 or 8 and the result will be the same: a rejection. If the student DOES have what the Ivies are looking for, then he may or may not be accepted. Applying to all 8 Ivies might be one way of hedging the bets to increase odds of acceptance – but a smarter way would be to identify which Ivies seemed to be the best fit for the student’s credentials. But let’s say that you have a kid who is in the running for schools that accept less than 10% of applicants, and he applies to 5. Maybe very roughly gives him a 50% chance of being admitted at one of them – still not a sure thing because of the high degree of competition for Ivies. </p>
<p>It wasn’t a “crap shoot” --it’s simply a matter of more students applying than spaces available. If you apply for a job for which you are well qualified, and you are interviewed along with 5 other candidates – if the job is given to someone else, it doesn’t mean that the whole thing was a crap shoot or that you were discriminated against in some way – it just means that the employer ended up preferring the other applicant. </p>
<p>I do agree that your son will be attending an excellent college. I just wish more families and more students would recognize the merits of schools like Miami in the first place, and target their applications to the excellent schools where they are likely to be admitted, rather than throwing away application fees at prestige schools where they have no realistic chances in the first place. Students who take that approach usually end up with multiple acceptances, and often some very good comparative financial aid offers. They don’t gripe or complain about the unfairness or unpredictable nature of the system because they did their research at the outset, and they were able to make a realistic and objective self-assessment. </p>
<p>That doesn’t mean that the student can’t apply to a reach or two, but it does mean that the student should be realistic about expectations and target accordingly.</p>