OP has informed me that everything listed is actual, so I’m reopening the thread with the clarification that he is a rising junior.
For the OP, I’ll add, arguably your school has the best college counseling office in the nation, with all sorts of data on past applicants. They are well-versed on guiding students to build an appropriate college list. These resources can answer your questions better than anonymous people on the Internet, even if any of these people has experience with your school.